Thursday, December 2, 2021

Fact Check: Why Are Athletes Suddenly Collapsing & Dying? [UPDATED]

(From an Israeli publication called Real-Time News.  Translated from Hebrew using Google Translate.  Published 11/13/21)
[UPDATE 12/4/21- 
The epidemic of athletes

Since December, 183 professional athletes, coaches and college and youth athletes have abruptly collapsed, and 108 have died. Some of the athletes, such as football stars Sergio Aguero and Christian Eriksen, collapsed in the middle of a game, in front of the spectators. The main cause: Cardiac problems - myo / pericarditis, cardiac arrest and heart attacks. What causes the sudden epidemic? 

 The Kyrie Irving saga and its refusal to vaccinate Corona never ceases to stir the NBA and the sports world. The Brooklyn Nets star did not back down from the decision even after the team announced that Irving would not be allowed to attend games or train with his teammates until he was vaccinated, a decision that resulted in him being reportedly likely to lose $ 17 million. "This is my life," he said last Thursday as part of Live on his Instagram account , which garnered a view of about 100,000 followers. "It's my body. And you tell me what to do with my body ... I'm stuck with what I believe in. It's that simple. It's not about being anti-Wax or being on one side or the other. It's just being true to what "That I feel is right for me ... if I'm going to be slandered because I have more questions and I take the time to make decisions with my life, then that's what it is ... I'm aware of the implications of my decisions for my life."



But Irving is not the only one who refuses the NBA's unequivocal demand to be vaccinated as a condition of ability to play. The press mockingly calls them "vaccine refusers." The NBA has already gone from threats to action, and yet, according to Rolling Stone magazine , about 50-60 players in the NBA have not been vaccinated against Corona. "I'm going to continue to do what I believe in ... what's right for one person is not right for another. It's not your business," Golden State Warriors player Andrew Wiggins said recently , while Washington Wizards star Bradley Bill explicitly expressed skepticism in an interview with the Washington Post. Corona vaccines. "I would like an explanation. Why are vaccinated people still infected with corona? If it's something we're supposed to be very protected from, it's funny that it only reduces your chances of going to the hospital. It does not prevent anyone from contracting corona, does it?"  

Golden State Warriors Andrew Wiggins: "It's my body. And you tell me what to do with my body ... I'm stuck with what I believe in. It's that simple. It's not about being anti-vaccine or being on that side. "It's just being true to what I feel is right for me."

It turns out that this trend is far from marginal. The British press reports that unlike what is happening in the NBA, most of the Premier League players are unwilling to get vaccinated against Corona, including most of the players from Manchester United, the big and influential football club. They are joined by a host of football, tennis, golf and football players who have not been vaccinated either, and some, like Irving Wiggins, have even come out openly against the pressure to get vaccinated. "It's bigger than baseball, it's a life decision," said Anthony Rizzo , who is considered the legendary Chicago Cubs star. "It has a heavy weight. It's a decision I made and I'm behind it ... it's a big issue ... I'm taking more time to see the data on all of this." It was recently reported that Novak Djokovic also, The world-ranked tennis player, will not take part in the Australian Open in January, after refusing to reveal his vaccine status. Djokovic revealed in an interview with local Serbian media that in light of Corona's restrictions in Australia, he is unsure of his plans to travel to Melbourne for the Grand Slam. "I will not reveal my status, whether I have been vaccinated or not. It is a private matter, and it is an inappropriate investigation," he said, adding, in an interview with Reuters: "Yes, no, maybe, I'm thinking about it," they will take advantage of it. " 

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Refusing to cooperate with coercive policies: Kyrie Irving, Andrew Wiggins, Anthony Rizzo, Bill Bradley and Novak Djokovic

 Why do so many top athletes insist on not succumbing to the massive pressure to get vaccinated? In the press mockery is celebrated. But no one in the media refers to the huge elephant in the room: the fear of vaccine damage. Is this fear ridiculous? Or are the athletes who resist just listening carefully to some of their peers, who report injuries and serious side effects after the vaccine? "I was fine until then, until I took the vaccine," says Brandon Goodwin, NBA player from the Atlanta Hawks team on Twitch stream. Goodwin, 26, began suffering from blood clots shortly after he was vaccinated. "I got sick and never recovered from it. I had back pain, I was especially tired in games. I was so tired, I felt like I could not run and get off the field. My back hurt. My back really started to ache ... so I found out I had blood clots. All. It's within a month ... ". Godwin explicitly claims that the vaccine is what caused what happened to him, and that the result is the elimination of his ability to play this season. "Yes, the vaccine has finished my season. A thousand percent." He said his group asked him to silence the story. "The Hawks were like 'Do not say anything about it. Do not tell anyone,'" he said.

Like Goodwin, in recent months more and more athletes have come out and stated in their voice or in writing, in media or social media interviews, about serious health problems they have experienced due to the vaccine. At the same time, there are more and more incidents of collapse and collapse, illness and even sudden death among athletes, including leading and well-known sports stars, as well as lesser-known athletes, those who play in local teams, including college athletes in different countries.

The Real-Time News investigation found 183 such cases among professional athletes, coaches, athletes at universities and colleges and youth athletes, all of which have occurred since December 2020, the month in which the global immunization campaign began. This large amount speaks for itself and tells a very different story from the mantra that the media repeats, according to which, the athletes who refuse to get vaccinated are just a handful of "vaccine opponents".

For many of the injured athletes, the injury means serious consequences for their health, their ability to continue playing, and even the continuation of their sporting careers. In 108 cases it was a death.

Common to most athletes - the young age and suddenness with which it happened, and the fact that most of them are men (only 15 of them women). The vast majority are aged 17-40, except for 21 older people (five aged 42-45, six aged 46-49, seven aged 51-54, and three others aged 60-64), and in at least over 80 cases the athletes were reported to feel unwell and suddenly collapse During a game, race or training, or immediately after. In most cases, it has been reported that the cause of the breakdown is heart-related, including myocarditis (inflammation of the heart muscle), pericarditis (inflammation of the pericardium) or a combination of both - premycarditis, heart attacks or cardiac arrest. The second cause reported in six cases is coagulation events, including pulmonary embolism, pulmonary blood clots in the brain and brain. We emphasize that the list we have is even longer, but for the sake of caution, cases were removed from it in which we did not have full details, so that only the cases that were reported in detail remained. In addition, cases were removed from the list in which evidence of previous risk factors was mentioned, such as a heart defect.

At least 108 sudden deaths have been reported among athletes since December, the start of the Corona vaccine campaign, the vast majority of them young people up to the age of 40. The list also includes youth players

Although not in all cases the immunized status of the injured athletes is published, and it is important to emphasize that the vulnerability can not be determined from the vaccine, the large number of casualties since December among this young group, there are many reasons to assume it is mostly healthy and without background disease That athletes, at least the professional ones among them, are scrutinized carefully and relatively often), puzzling, and certainly constitutes a red flag and requires a comprehensive and in-depth clarification of the subject. Certainly the need for it cannot be eliminated through superficial claims. Also, given the almost sweeping duty of vaccinations in many teams and leagues, as well as in universities and colleges, the assumption is that especially recently, it is often difficult to impossible for professional athletes to continue playing without being vaccinated. This finding is particularly striking against the background of the fact that fatal events resulting from the sudden collapse of athletes are considered according to the research literature to be a rare phenomenon. 

Heartbreak in front of thousands of fans

On 31 October, Barcelona striker Sergio Aguero was hospitalized after feeling unwell during his team's game against Alavés. The 33-year-old Argentine star, who is considered the king of Manchester City's goalscorers of all time and the foreigner with the most goals in the Premier League of all time (181), called on Twitter for everyone aged 12 and over to get vaccinated. But on October 31, he was rushed to the hospital after feeling severe chest pain. He signaled to the coaches during the first half that he was asking to be replaced, then grabbed his heart and collapsed on the grass. This week it was reported in Spain that last tests revealed a severe arrhythmia, and the cardiologists who examined him are not optimistic about his ability to return to the pitch in a few months. At the moment, according to reports, Aguero's professional future and whether he will be able to continue playing football at all is unclear, and will only become clear after he undergoes further tests in the coming months. 

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Barcelona striker Sergio Aguero was hospitalized after feeling unwell and suffering from chest pains during his team's game against the Alavés team.

Like Aguero, several superstars have collapsed in front of tens of thousands of viewers in recent months. Perhaps the best known is the Danish footballer Christian Eriksen, the Inter Milan player and the Danish national team. On June 12, during his team's opening match against Finland in the Euro 2020 tournament, 29-year-old Eriksen, who was at his peak of fitness, collapsed and went into cardiac arrest in front of 15,000 fans in the stands. For 20 minutes, the team's medical staff tried to revive him, and when they finally succeeded through an electric shock, he was rushed to the hospital, where he underwent a pacemaker transplant.

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Inter-Milan player Christian Eriksen collapsed during his side's opening match against Finland in the Euro 2020 tournament, and went into cardiac arrest in front of 15,000 fans in the stands. 

A similar incident happened to 27-year-old cricketer David Wakefield , who collapsed during training on March 11 and suffered a cardiac arrest. He, too, survived thanks to the action of the emergency team, who performed CPR on him using a defibrillator, but it took long minutes and six electric shocks before his heart beat again. The diagnosis was myocarditis, and a pacemaker was implanted in his heart. In addition, apparently due to the prolonged time in which his heart stopped beating, he also suffered from swelling in the brain, which in order to reduce it was put to sleep and respirated. Only after three weeks in intensive care and then extensive rehabilitation, was he able to walk and talk again.

In June, 29-year-old Danish footballer Christian Eriksen suffered a cardiac arrest in front of 15,000 fans. A similar incident occurred to 27-year-old cricketer David Wakefield on March 27, and in late July 18-year-old Belgian Rona Koja suffered a heart attack

At the end of July, Rona Koja from the Belgian 18-year-old Anderlecht Hogaldi team suffered a heart attack at the end of the first half of a friendly match. He was saved thanks to the swift action of his fellow actors, and immediately afterwards of the emergency services. On September 17, 25-year-old Bayern Munich player Kingsman Koeman was also forced to undergo surgery to correct arrhythmias. Another athlete hospitalized in July is Pedro Obiang, a professional Italian footballer who played as a liaison at the Serie A football club in Sesotho. The 29-year-old Obiang was hospitalized in July for ten days, according to a SUN report as a result of a lung problem, but other reports claim it was myocarditis. 

And in August, Fabrika Naskala, the defender of the Turkish Shiktash football team, was hospitalized after collapsing on the pitch in the 70th minute of a game against the Gaziantepspor team.

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Fabrika Naskala, the defender of the Turkish Shiktash football team, was hospitalized after collapsing on the pitch in the 70th minute.

Other athletes have reported serious problems that cast doubt on the continuation of their sporting careers. Take , for example,  Florian Dagori, Who holds the world record for static freediving of respiratory arrest, wrote on his Instagram account: "After the second dose I noticed that my pulse was much higher than normal and my respiratory capacity dropped significantly .... 10 days after the second vaccination, I went to see a cardiologist and he told me it was A side effect of the Pfizer vaccine, 'there is nothing to worry about, just rest it will pass.' By the immune system and some tiny blood leaks from the valves that no longer close properly. "Like Sputnik, Synovak, Sinopar, etc., instead of the new mRNA vaccines."

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Florian Dagori: "My first recommendation to free divers around the world is to choose a vaccine that is produced the old way, such as Sputnik, Synovak, Sinopar, etc., instead of the new mRNA vaccines."

Passed away suddenly

As mentioned, in 108 of the cases identified in the media reports, the collapse of the athletes ended in death. For example, on February 6, 2021, Clement Luco , a 25-year-old Cameroonian basketball player who played in Manila, died after suffering a sudden heart attack. On April 18, basketball player Anton Pippin, 33, who played for Texas A&M International University and later on the International Basketball Association's Upstate Heat team , died unexpectedly On June 18, Robert Lima passed away , a footballer who moved to the Uruguayan Olympic team. Lima, 49, died of a sudden heart attack while playing football with friends.

In August, Michael Ujo, 27, a professional Nigerian-American basketball player from Florida who previously played for the Florida State center team and moved to Serbia , died unexpectedly Ujo collapsed during training and died during resuscitation attempts at a local hospital in Serbia. Roy Butler , a 23-year-old Irish footballer who previously played for Waterford FC, also died on 17 August. The media reported his sudden death, but did not comment on his immunization status. However, his relatives said he died after the vaccination. "My beautiful nephew Roy Butler, of Irish Waterford City, has passed away today, after a miracle 'vaccine' ... I'm heartbroken and so angry," his aunt, Marianne Hart, tweeted on her Twitter account. 

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Roy Butler, 23, died four days after being vaccinated. 

Alexaida Guadz , a 30-year-old marathon runner from Valencia, died during a race in August in the city of Nagoana in the state of Krabovo. She collapsed 50 meters from the finish line, and died after attempts to revive her were unsuccessful. Frank Breyer , a 37-year-old former French-Belgian footballer, also died of a sudden heart attack in August. And in Japan, Yusuka Kinoshita , a professional baseball player, died in August . He died after a month-long struggle at the hospital, where he was evacuated after collapsing during training on July 6. He was resuscitated and anesthetized during hospitalization, until his death on August 5th. The Japanese media reported extensively on his death. The news site Sponichi initially included the headline: "Resilience against Corona" but quickly changed the report. However, Yahoo JapanReported that the sudden collapse of the baseball player may have been related to the second corona vaccine he received. According to the report, Ochiro Oshima, the owner of the Chunichi dragon group where Kinushita played, said in an interview with him: "I heard he got sick after the vaccine. He is hospitalized and fighting for his life. I do not know the causal link between his vaccine and the collapse. ".

On October 10, the Pharma Baseball Club in Italy announced a mourning for the sudden death of Simon Badudi, a baseball player and coach of the Park Ranger team. According to a report in the Corriere di Bologna, my 40-year-old uncle returned that evening from a party where his team was celebrating a victory and promotion to the league. At some point, it is not clear exactly when, he left his car by the side of the road and returned home on foot. He fell asleep, but a few hours later his heart stopped beating.

Athletes teenagers and children were also injured and died

The list also includes 23 teenagers, aged 12-17, of whom 16 died. 17-year-old Dylan Rich died in early September after suffering a heart attack during his team's youth cup game against Boston United; Elisha Gorham, also 17, a Baltimore football player who also collapsed during a game in October, and died of a heart attack and systemic failure; Bruno Stein, 15, a young goalkeeper from FC An der Fahner Höhe in Germany died suddenly in October; And Chloe Gianni Giavatzi, a young 12-year-old Italian tennis player who was found dead in her bed by her mother in June; Jason Kidd, also 12, is a basketball player from Bridgeville, Pennsylvania. Died unexpectedly in early November while warming up for school basketball practice. In August, three young cyclists from the same group were hospitalized in Belgium for three weeks apart with heart problems: Zander Verhagen, 17, Joppa Arfels, 15, and Yarko van Herc, also 15. Van Herc suffered chest pains during Versailles Race,Two days after vaccination, he was hospitalized and diagnosed with myocarditis. 

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Yarken van Herck, 15, suffered from chest pain during a race in Versailles, two days after the vaccine, was hospitalized and diagnosed with myocarditis.

Refuse to remain silent

Some of the athletes themselves or their associates have openly stated a link between the immunization of Corona and their condition. For example, 34-year-old French tennis player Jeremy Chardi , who was previously ranked 25th in the world, has announced that he is suspending his games for the current season, and does not know when and if he will be able to play again. This is as a result of a series of severe health problems he has been suffering from since receiving the corona vaccine, including severe pain throughout the body during physical exertion. "I regret being vaccinated," Chardi declared in a media interview. “Since I got vaccinated (between the Olympics and the U.S. Open), I have a problem, I have had difficulties. "Suddenly I can not train, I can not play ... At the moment my season stops and I do not know when I will start again ... This is the first time that the idea that next season may be my last came to my mind."

Alexander Kissonga, an Italian professional basketball player who was hospitalized in late July after being diagnosed with premixturitis, shared his story on his Instagram accountHis, and left no room for doubt as to the fact that he linked the disease to the modern vaccine he had received. "I have been hospitalized for a month. I have been diagnosed with acute premiitis. In other words, it is an infection that causes inflammation of the membrane surrounding the heart." Kisonga said he made a decision to share his story because he feels there is no discussion about the side effects of the vaccine. "What I'm most sorry about is that we do not talk about it !!! Then I found out that it is one of the possible side effects of the vaccine, and that it usually happens to young people ... The vaccine statistics say the benefits outweigh the harm, and here I wonder. .. Am I a minority who has suffered from the harms of the vaccine? Who treats it? Or rather - is anyone responsible for it? From what I can judge, if someone makes money on markers or vaccines, should he not be responsible for compensating those who unfortunately had negative effects ?! ".

19-year-old Sienna Knowles , a competitive horse rider from Australia who was hospitalized in October and diagnosed with blood clots in her chest, shared her condition in a series of Instagram posts that went viral, saying she became ill after receiving the Pfizer vaccine. "How crazy I quickly became from a super healthy 19-year-old girl who never suffered from any health problems - working full time, training and riding horses every day - to someone who was all taken from her after Pfizer's second vaccination," Knowles wrote. "My lungs are full of blood clots and the heart is under stress. My new normal [is] now that I have a pulmonologist, a cardiologist, blood tests, full body scans, an ultrasound of the heart and lungs." She added that she did not want to receive the vaccine because she was afraid. "I wish I would never have gotten it and been able to get my healthy body back."

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Sienna Knowles: "I wish I would never have gotten it and been able to get my healthy body back."

Even Francesca Marcon , Italian volleyball player 38-year-old suffered from pericarditis after receiving the second dose of Pfizer on August 3, not silent. Markon, who immediately suffered from shortness of breath and chest pain, went to the emergency room the next day and was diagnosed with pericarditis, wrote on her Instagram account that she regrets being vaccinated: "I declare I am not an vaccine but I was never persuaded to take this vaccine and now I understand why," she wrote. Marcon. She went on to say, "Maybe it's a bit of a blasphemy - but I wonder: is there no kind of compensation for someone who suffers from health damage after the vaccine? Who pays the price for everything?".

Pauchi and the heads of the FDA, CDC and NIH did not come to listen to the victims

Kyle Warner, 29, a professional mountain bike rider from Idaho who has won three state championships and a famous YouTuber, was diagnosed with pericarditis, POTS and arthritis a month after receiving the second dose of Pfizer's vaccine. His career has been ruined, and he is still ill and unable to work, participate in races or train. In an interview with Dr. John Campbell in October, he said he received the first dose of the vaccine in mid-May, and the second dose in June. Two weeks later he experienced a rapid pulse sensation. Shalev went up again and he felt nauseous and weak and went to the emergency room. The doctors dismissed the incident and claimed he was having an anxiety attack. That he “resists vaccinations.” Four days later he was hospitalized again with pain and pressure in the chest area,And this time they took his concern seriously and referred him to a cardiologist.

Warner was one of 20 people affected by side effects after the corona vaccines were invited to speak at a press conference organized by Senator Johnson in the Senate, along with doctors and scientists. Senator Johnson also invited Dr. Anthony Pucci and the heads of the CDC, the NIH and the FDA, the directors of Pfizer and Moderna and the representatives of the states of the victims. None of them showed up. Thank you to Dr. Pauchi and the heads of the organizations for not showing up and not listening to us. I am glad to know that our good is in front of your eyes. This message is for you. It is a message about how what is happening broke my heart, literally and figuratively. " 

"Thank you to everyone who supported and understood me when I spoke on this issue," he wrote on his Instagram account. "Many of you know me as a pretty reasonable and caring guy and I never intended to be a part of all this discourse. However, after my experience this summer, and listening to thousands of similar stories, I feel I have to stand by the people who can not or do not have access to the same platform.

"It's not political, it's personal. I want the best for the world and for humanity, and it breaks my heart to see people suffer in every way. The last week in DC has shaken my view of the world drastically, and it made me realize how much we as sons "The average person needs to unite and sync with each other. Listen to my message before you judge or tag. I'm just a guy who cares about others and wants the government to recognize and support what's actually happening."

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Kyle Warner at the Senate Press Conference

"The collapsing athlete": a rare phenomenon

The large number of athletes who collapsed and died this year must serve as a bright red light, especially in light of the fact that sudden death and cardiac arrest of athletes are considered a rare phenomenon in the research medical literature. According to an articlePublished in May this year in the journal Sports Cardiology, entitled "The Collapsed Athlete", in its most recent annual report for 2017, the National Center for Catastrophic Sports Injury Research (NCCSIR) noted that for 36 years, from 1982 to 2017 , 862 non-traumatic catastrophic injuries occurred among U.S. college athletes, 44 of which were fatal. The main causes include cardiac arrest, stroke, hypothermia, respiratory distress, hypoglycemia, trauma and overexertion. According to the article, "collapsing athlete" syndrome is defined as an athlete. Experiencing a sudden loss of stable tone, to the point of inability to continue attending the sporting event.These are cases that have occurred in the United States only, and only among college athletes, but the small numbers over so many years reflect the fact that the phenomenon is indeed rare. 

For 36 years, from 1982 to 2017, 862 non-traumatic catastrophic injuries occurred among U.S. college athletes, 44 of which were fatal. The main causes include cardiac arrest, stroke, hypothermia, respiratory distress, hypoglycemia, trauma and overexertion.

In a study published in 2017 in the New England Journal of Medicine, a group of Canadian researchers examined the incidence of sudden cardiac arrest during participation in sports, between the years 2009-2014 among 12-45 year olds. They used a cardiac arrest database in Canada for this purpose. The study findings showed that during 18.5 million years of observation, 74 cases of sudden cardiac arrest occurred during participation in sports; Of these, 16 occurred during competitive sports and 58 during non-competitive sports. The incidence of sudden cardiac arrest during competitive sports was 0.76 cases per 100,000 sports years. According to the study, the occurrence of sudden cardiac arrest due to structural heart disease during participation in competitive sports was rare.

Another study , published in 2013 in the journal by researchers from the Department of Health Sciences at the University of Texas, identified over 13 years - between 2000 and 2013 - 54 cases of sudden cardiac deaths among young football players. 

And it turns out that even at older ages, cardiac arrest during athletic activity is rare. A study published in 2015 in the journal Circulation, examined the cases of sudden cardiac arrest associated with sports in a large population in the metropolitan area of ​​Portland, among the 35-65 age group, between 2002 and 2013. The researchers identified 1,247 cases, of which 63 (5%) occurred during sports activities. In 16% of cases the victims had a previous heart disease, and in 56% they had cardiovascular risk factors. 36% of cases had cardiovascular symptoms during the week preceding the event.

5 times more FIFA athletes have died this year compared to previous years

To know how many deaths have occurred in reality during the past two decades among players FIFA (2001-2020), used the Wikipedia entry " list of registered players union who died while playing " (List of association footballers who died while playing). But we treated for calculation purposes And only to those players on the list who were active players, not past players.Also, it is important to emphasize that we only referred to SUD and SCD and not to all the sudden deaths

The data on Wikipedia shows that between 2001-2020 there were an average of 4.2 deaths per year attributed to sudden cardiac death (SCD) or unexplained sudden death (SUD), with the vast majority being SCD. This figure is confirmed by previous data and longitudinal studies, which also indicate that the risk of sudden cardiac mortality (SCD) and unexplained death (SUD) among FIFA players is about 4-6 cases per year. For example, a study published in 2014 in writing The Physician and Sportsmedicine magazine, 54 deaths of football players registered with FIFA were found as a result of SCD events from 2000 to 2013. In addition, data from FIFA published over the years also strengthen this estimated range. For example, in 2012 it was reported In Haaretz that FIFA has decided to set up a large database to analyze the phenomenon of heart events and player collapses on the pitch. This, in light of the fact that 36 footballers have died on the field over the course of a decade. In the report Of the BBC from 2017 which dealt with the issue of heart attacks among football players on the pitch and addressed FIFA's intention to train players to deal with these situations using defibrillators, cited data provided to the BBC by Global Sports Statistics, according to which 64 players died in the last decade during a game .

To know how many cases occurred this year - in 2021 (until mid-November 2021), we used the list of players who died during 2021, collected in the "Real Time News" research. This list includes the players listed in Wikipedia this year (in Wikipedia the list is more partial). From these data, 21 cases of SCD / SUD were found among FIFA players.

Dr. Josh Getzko, a senior lecturer in the Department of Sociology and Anthropology and the Institute of Criminology at the Hebrew University, analyzed the data. That is - about 5 times more than the annual average!

"This figure is statistically significant. In fact, there is no other year since 2001 where the difference between the number of cases observed of SCD / SUD and the expected number is statistically significant. 2021 is the only one where the difference is very statistically significant, which is unlikely to occur - 2 out of 1,000 "Moreover, even if we take into account the margin of error, and we will only cover 14 cases in 2021 - the difference is still statistically significant."

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Exercise after the vaccine? Caution can prevent disaster

Does performing strenuous sports activity after mRNA-based vaccines increase the risk of the vaccinated? This question has occupied in recent months the health ministries and experts around the world, especially in the context of myocarditis and cardiac events. This is in light of the ongoing reports flowing in from all over the world about increased side effects, especially among teenagers and young people. In Singapore, for example, as early as September 16 , the Ministry of Health issued a statement from a committee of experts on the subject stating that "vaccinated people, especially adolescents and young people, should avoid strenuous exercise for two weeks after each dose of mRNA-based Cubid-19 vaccines." During this period, the vaccinated should "seek immediate medical attention if they develop chest pain, shortness of breath or palpitations. Vaccine providers should advise this to the people receiving the vaccine."

In Israel, on the other hand, the Ministry of Health completely dismisses claims about the increased risk of physical activity. At the beginning of October, it was reported in the various media in the country that the professionals in the Ministry of Health formulate a recommendation according to which vaccinators, including young people under the age of 30, should refrain from strenuous activity and sports training for a week. Following the publication of Dr. Yoav Yehezkeli, an expert in internal medicine and medical administration, a lecturer in the Emergency Management Program at Tel Aviv University and one of the founders of the Epidemic Treatment Team (ZTM) on his Facebook page, where he welcomed this caution, the Ministry of Health chose to publish a crowning post Dr. Yehezkeli's publicity as "Pike", and announced that "experts from the Ministry of Health have overwhelmingly decided that there is no danger in sports after vaccinations ... go get vaccinated. Go out and practice. " 

While in Singapore precautionary measures are taken, in Israel the Ministry of Health eliminates the risk and calls the publications calling for caution "Pike"

At a hearing on October 6, members of the IDF (epidemic treatment team) decided by an absolute majority against a decision similar to the one made in Singapore. "Do not prevent physical activity after any vaccination ... I do not recognize that avoiding activity reduces myocarditis and this is very problematic at the level of the message of the safety of the vaccine."

"Team members completely rejected this recommendation, without holding a professional discussion," Dr. Yehezkeli wrote in response to the decision in the IDF. "No experts in the field were present at the hearing: cardiologists, sports doctors or exercise physiologists." According to him, the allegations that led to the cancellation of the recommendation, such as "there is no evidence that physical activity increases the risk of myocarditis following the vaccine," express a lack of professionalism. "Obviously, the effort itself is not the cause of myocarditis. Physical exertion increases the risk of a fatal arrhythmia in case the vaccine causes myocarditis. Fatal incidents for you to take precautionary measures? Or does the desire to erase from the public discourse any mention of a side effect from the vaccine outweigh it? ", He wrote.

Mild or life-threatening illness?

The link between corona vaccines and two known heart diseases: myocarditis (inflammation of the heart muscle) and pericarditis (inflammation of the membrane surrounding the heart) has been recognized by health authorities. Myocarditis can lead to arrhythmias, and is considered to cause about 20% of cases of sudden cardiac death. Often, there may be a condition that combines the two disorders, called premiocarditis. Along with the approval of the vaccine for adults and the issuance of an emergency permit for 12-15 year olds granted by the FDA, the US Food and Drug Administration announced in June an update in the drug leaflet of Pfizer and Modernena vaccines, in relation to the increased risk of myocarditis and pericarditis after vaccination. For each of the two vaccines, the manufacturers' information leaflet was amended to include warnings against myocarditis and pericarditis, as well as information about both diseases. According to the FDA announcement, the update was written following a comprehensive review of the information and a discussion in the CDC's Vaccine Advisory Committee.

The first evidence of this connection came from Israel, when, following cumulative reports received from hospitals in the country, the Ministry of Health appointed a commission of inquiry to examine the issue. The committee, chaired by Prof. Dror Mevorach, reported its findings in an article published in the New England Journal of Medicine. The article included reports received from December 2020 to May 2021, with cases being monitored from the first vaccination day to 30 days after the second vaccination. The researchers reported 304 people with myocarditis symptoms, of whom, they said, 21 received an alternative diagnosis. Of the remaining 283 cases, 142 occurred after Pfizer vaccination, and of these in 136 patients the diagnosis was defined as certain or reasonable. According to the article, these are 136 cases of myocarditis out of 5.4 million people who were vaccinated with one or two doses. 

While in absolute numbers it does sound small, it is important to understand that the occurrence of the phenomenon after the second dose is 5.3 times higher than expected. Moreover, when it comes to boys aged 16-19, the risk is 1 in 6,637 - a risk 13.6 times higher than expected. Moreover, as Prof. Mevorach himself noted at a meeting of the Vaccine Prioritization Committee held on June 3, it is likely that this is an underestimation of the cases. It should be noted that according to an article published in the journal Science, in a report submitted to the Ministry of Health on June 1, the researchers concluded that one in 3,000 to one in 6,000 boys and young people aged 16-24 developed myocarditis - a higher estimate than reported in the article itself. Prof. Mevorach himself, in a Twitter tweet from May 25, also wrote that he estimates that the incidence stands at one in 3,000 to one in 6,000. 

According to the research literature, myocarditis is a life-threatening disease that can cause long-term damage to the heart muscle and lead to heart rhythm disorders and heart failure.

Most cases of myocarditis in the study were defined as mild and transient, but seven cases were defined as severe, and one case, of a young woman, ended in death. The Ministry of Health emphasizes that this is usually a mild illness, which involves only a short hospital stay. However, according to the research literature , it is a life-threatening disease, which can cause long-term damage to the heart muscle and lead to heart rhythm disorders and heart failure, which only with prolonged follow-up can reveal the true effect of myocardial tissue or myocardial tissue itself. Thus, even cases defined as mild require follow-up to rule out such damage. Dr. Michael Godovich, one of the members of the Vaccine Prioritization Committee, said in a discussion that presented the data from Prof. Mevorach's study: Disapproves of the emphasis that this is a mild disease. What's more, half of the patients were in intensive care. "

Another issue that arises, in light of the findings, is what is the prevalence of cardiac inflammation in children under 16 years of age? At present, there are still no studies or reports indicating the prevalence of myocarditis and pericarditis at these ages, nor after vaccination with a third booster dose.


Corona vaccines: 277 times higher risk of myocarditis compared to flu vaccines

Myocarditis and pericarditis are not the only cardiac effects in which an increase was found near corona vaccines.
Dr. Getzko analyzed data from the U.S. VAERS (Side Effects Reporting System), focusing on cardiac events reported in teens and young men following corona vaccinations from December (beginning of the vaccination campaign) to October 8, and comparing them to reports on Cardiac events in adolescents and young people after influenza vaccines in the last five flu seasons (2015/16 - 2019/20).
First, he examined the amount of cardiac events reported among 18-49-year-olds after corona vaccines, and the amount of these events among the same age group after influenza vaccines. He then examined the ratio of the incidence of cardiac events in corona-versus-flu vaccines per million vaccine doses. Results: The rate of cardiac events reported this year (December to October) following corona vaccines per million vaccine doses among 18-49 year olds was 46 times higher than the rate reported following influenza vaccines during the last five flu seasons. The rate of arrhythmia events following corona vaccines is 89 times higher than influenza vaccines; The rate of coronary artery disease is 65 times higher due to corona vaccines compared to influenza vaccines; The rate of heart failure is 17 times higher; The rate of other cardiac disorders is 46 times higher; The rate of pericarditis is 84 times higher; And the incidence of myocarditis is 277 times higher following corona vaccines compared to influenza vaccines. 
"It is important to remember that these reporting systems are characterized by a very large built-in sub-reporting," Dr. Getzko said in an interview with Real-Time News. 40-50 or more. "The significance of this estimate is almost inconceivable in its scope. If the total number of reports of cardiac events is close to 100,000 (98,235 reports), then doubling by about 50,000 means about five million (!) Reports If the number of reports of coronary heart disease is about 17,000 (17,071), then in reality the number is 850,000; if the number of reports of heart failure is 6,577, then in reality the number is about 325,000. And if the number of reports of myocarditis is 1,512, then in reality the number is 75,600, all in a group of young people. 

Increased MDA call rate of cardiac events in young people

A study conducted several months ago by Prof. Rezaf Levy, an expert in systemic risk management, development and implementation of analytical models for risk forecasting in government bodies and health systems from MIT, based on the use of the Magen David Adom database, reinforces the concerns of Dr. Getzko's analysis. Prof. Levy analyzed the MDA readings in the years 2021-2019, focusing on readings related to cardiac arrest and heart attacks according to the definitions set by MDA teams in the field. This period includes 14 months without corona epidemic and without vaccines (2019 to March 2020); Ten months of epidemic (March 2020 to December 2020); and five-and-a-half months of epidemic with vaccines (January-May 2021). Over 83% in heart attack readings among women aged 20 to 29. Moreover, the study showed that the increase in case rates increases as the ages get younger.

Although the study data do not include information on the immunization status of the groups, the statistical analysis indicates a significant association between weeks in which there were many MDA readings diagnosed by medical staff as heart attacks and heart attacks in 16-39 year olds. The cardiac events occurred after the start of the vaccination campaign in 2021. Also, according to the article, the correlation seems to be particularly related to the administration of the second doses of the vaccine, and the decision to vaccinate recovering patients at these ages. 

The study findings indicated a 25% increase in the readiness rate of cardiac events in the young age group in 2021 compared to previous periods, and an increase of over 83% in the readings of heart attacks among women aged 20-29. Moreover, the study showed that the increase in case rates increases as the ages get younger

Although the article did not claim that the increase was due to the vaccine, in light of the disturbing data, and especially in light of the proven link between the vaccine and myocarditis and the risk of cardiac events as a result of inflammation, Prof. Levy demanded a detailed and urgent examination of cases. The findings and the article itself were forwarded by the MIT research team to the Israeli Ministry of Health, but received no response. In an online meeting, an excerpt of which was published by the Ministry of Health on October 10, the head of health services, Dr. Sharon Elrai-Price, claimed that the National Center for Disease Control reviewed Prof. Levy's research, and found that the data was incorrect. Great that I have seen and run in a very significant way, "she said referring to the claim about the link between the vaccine and cardiac events. Understand in depth what he did and see if there is anything in it,And the National Center for Disease Control did a very comprehensive examination including on the data of the same study, that it was MDA readings and actually found that there is nothing, no more heart attacks, no more emergency room visits not seen in this morbidity period, morbidity period from beginning, mortality data from beginning "2021, we do not see an increase in mortality except Corona's mortality."

Following this, on October 12, members of the Corona Emergency Council (PRC) contacted the director of the National Center for Disease Control, Prof. Little Keenan Boker, and asked for data on the date and vaccination status of the reported cases; the diagnosis in the hospital; Levy; the experts who examined his research; and whether an independent team was used. The request has not yet been answered. The request from "Real Time News" for a response in this matter from the information center for Corona on behalf of the Ministry of Health was also not answered. 

As stated, at this stage it is not possible to establish a direct connection between the deaths of the competitive athletes described in the article, but the picture that emerges from it is very worrying. The large number of cases close to vaccination, compared to the relatively rare occurrence of these cases in athletes in previous years (pre-vaccinated corona), must serve as a warning sign indicating increased risk and requires thorough, professional and independent reference and testing, as well as the establishment and improvement of existing monitoring and monitoring systems. Side effects, before continuing to impose additional vaccines and boosters on the public, and in particular on young people, adolescents and children. 

 Link to the list of athletes who have been injured and / or died since December 2020

Thursday, November 11, 2021

Fact Check: Is It Possible To Make A Full-Length Superhero Movie In A Day? [UPDATED]

You cannot find a more qualified and informed doctor on the subject of Covid-19 than Peter McCullough.  In this 90 minute talk, the average length of a Hollywood movie, he gives his unvarnished opinion on the vaccines and the war on early treatments.  It's a tour de force from a skilled communicator.  Get some popcorn, dim the lights, and prepare to get some life saving information from a true real-life superhero. 

[UPDATE 11/29 - I did not know when I posted this that Peter McCullough is also an accomplished runner and has run a marathon in all 50 states.  Superhero indeed!]     

YouTube banned this speech.  Dr. McCullough is a top cardiologist speaking about the latest research on Covid.  Some of that research conflicts with the narrative put forth by parties involved in a massive get-rich-quick scheme that is causing great harm according to the research presented here.  So I ported the speech over to Rumble.    

Here's the Rumble link:

h/t Speech from 10/27/21 

Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Fact Check: Is Climate Change Real? [UPDATED]

A Socratic Guide To The Burning Question Of Our Time

Intro I

There's an old Jewish joke that goes something like this:

No matter what Shlomo did in bed, his wife could never achieve an orgasm. 
Since by Jewish law a wife is entitled to sexual pleasure, they decide to consult their Rabbi. 
The Rabbi listens to their story, strokes his beard, and makes the following suggestion: "Hire a strapping young man. While the two of you are making love, have the young man wave a towel over you. That will get God's attention and he will provide an orgasm."

They go home and follow the Rabbi's advice. They hire a handsome young man and he waves a towel over them as they make love. It does not help and the wife is still unsatisfied. Perplexed, they go back to the Rabbi.

"Okay,' he says to the husband, "Try it reversed. Have the young man make love to your wife and you wave the towel over them."

Once again, they follow the Rabbi's advice. They go home and hire the same strapping young man.

The young man gets into bed with the wife and the husband waves the towel. The young man gets to work with great enthusiasm and soon she has an enormous, room-shaking, ear-splitting, screaming orgasm.

The husband smiles, looks at the young man and says to him triumphantly, "See that, you schmuck? THAT'S how you wave a towel!"


Intro II

Let’s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world.

In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus. There is no such thing as consensus science. If it’s consensus, it isn’t science. If it’s science, it isn’t consensus. Period.

Michael Crichton, author of "Jurassic Park", "Andromeda Strain", "Westworld", and numerous other works of fiction and non-fiction. Crichton also held a medical degree from Harvard.

A Brief History of the Theory of Global Warming (aka Climate Change)

It all began back in the 1700s when some rock stars - no, not that kind of rock star, geologists actually - were traipsing around Europe and noticed that some of the boulders in the valleys matched the rocks on distant peaks.  The only plausible explanation for how those boulders traveled so far was that they must have been carried by ice.  This idea was fleshed-out a few decades later by a scientist studying skeletons and frozen remains of large mammals in Siberia.  Thus was born the idea of The  Great Ice Age.  But that opened up a whole new can-o-worms; if ice once covered the Earth, what melted the ice?

In 1824, around the same time these ideas were percolating, a scientist named Joseph Fourier figured out that Earth would be much colder without its atmosphere.  Air was trapping heat from the sun and keeping us warm, he said.  Fourier had discovered the greenhouse effect.

Building on Fourier's work, other scientists found that about 70% of the greenhouse effect was due to water vapor, 20% was due to carbon dioxide (CO2), and the final 10% was due to methane, ozone, and other gasses.  A theory developed that maybe changes in the atmosphere had ended The Great Ice Age.

Water vapor was dismissed as a cause because excess water condenses and falls-out as precipitation.  CO2, methane, and ozone do not cycle as quickly, so the theory of melting ice focused primarily on CO2, which while only .04% of the atmosphere, accounts for 20% of the warming effect.

Two things were going on at the same time as all this.  One was the industrial revolution and the burning of coal in newly invented steam engines.  The other was the observation that the existing glaciers were continuing to melt!   Could they be related and tied back to changes in CO2?

Along came a Swedish scientist named Svante Arrhenius, who in 1898 calculated the hypothetical climate change that would result if atmospheric CO2 was cut in half.  He calculated that the Earth would be it was during The Great Ice Age!  He also calculated that if CO2 doubled, we'd have melting ice and warming!  So, the "modern" CO2 theory of global warming dates back to the calculations Arrhenius did 120 years ago in an attempt to explain the onset and demise of The Great Ice Age.   

Meanwhile, we've been burning progressively more carbon fuels like coal, oil, and gas in the last 120 years.  Finally, in 1960, an American scientist named David Keeling began measuring CO2 levels at an observatory in Hawaii.  What he discovered was that CO2 was trending up at an alarming rate!  

So with Keeling showing CO2 skyrocketing, Arrhenius' saying we are going to fry if CO2 rises, and glaciers continuing to melt, that eventually leads to Al Gore, Kyoto, Paris, The UN IPCC, and a scientific "consensus" saying global warming is an "existential threat". (Meaning, the end is nigh!)

In 2009, the U.S. government under Barack Obama officially declared that CO2 emissions endangered life on Earth.  Whole generations now believe we are doomed.  Some have even stopped having children thinking there is no future.   

All from a gas that humans exhale, that plants inhale, that makes up only .04% of our atmosphere, and that formed the basis of a theory developed in the 1800s to try and explain the The Great Ice Age!


Pop Quiz:

So, what really ended The Great Ice Age?
A. CO2
B. Mr. Milankovitch

Since this whole CO2 inquiry began as an attempt to explain The Great Ice Age, one of the first questions to ask is, was the premise right?  Have we learned anything new since Fourier, Arrhenius, Keeling, et al?  Do we now know what caused and ended The Great Ice Age?

You are probably certain it was CO2.  After all, you've been told for years that CO2  drives climate.  Since the 1800s and Arrhenius we've believed that changes in CO2 can have dramatic effects.  We still believe CO2 is melting glaciers today.  It's "settled science" after all.

Except, that's not what happened.  It turns out, Mr. Milankovitch did it.  (Yup, our climate has been hacked by the Russians! Actually, he was Serbian, just sounds Russian.)  Milutin Milankovitch was a scientist who figured out in the 1920s that the Earth has a cyclical relationship to the sun.  It tilts. It wobbles. It's orbit changes.  Some cycles take 100,000 years to complete.  Some take 41,000 years.  Some take 23,000 years.  The effect of all this is rather dramatic... ta da... climate change!


Of course, Milankovitch was instantly dismissed as a kook.  Even today as I'm typing this, his name is unrecognized by the spell-check gremlins in my computer.  Fourier, Arrhenius, and Keeling, however, are spell-check VIPs.

Until 1998, Milankovitch got no respect.  But then a funny thing happened down in Antarctica.  Scientists drilled an ice core at a place called Vostok (more Russians!) that gave them a 420,000 year climate history, and voila, there were major ice ages and warmings every 100,000 years.  There were also shorter cycles in between.  Milankovitch could no longer be dismissed, except of course by spell-check.


Then in 2000 another Antarctic ice core was obtained at Dome C that goes back 800,000 years.  Again it confirmed Milankovitch.  The Great Ice Age now had a plausible explanation.  The Earth's relationship to the sun caused major climate change - global coolings and global warmings - going back as far as we can see.

Dome C Temperature Estimates

If major climate change happens at least every 100,000 years, as Milankovitch theorized, and the Earth is 4.5 billion years old, then there have been 45,000 of those alone.  The Great Ice Age was just the latest in a countless series of coolings and warmings!

Another name that should get mentioned at this point is Eddy, as in John A. Eddy.   Eddy was one of the most recent astronomers to study the cyclical output of the sun.  He published a groundbreaking study in 1976 and named the most recent solar minimums and maximums.   While Milankovitch cycles play out over tens of thousands of years, solar cycles can be as short as 11 years.  They are also closely correlated with...ta da...climate change!

Here are some of the solar minimums and maximums from recent Earth history that resulted in major global warmings and mini-ice ages:

You can see why glaciers are melting today by looking at the right side of the solar activity graph. We are also near a peak in the Milankovitch cycle.  Something would be horribly wrong if glaciers were NOT melting today!

So between Milankovitch's orbital cycles and Eddy's solar cycles, these are the bases for ice ages and their demise.  These are the bases for perpetual climate change.  In addition, one-time events like volcanoes and asteroids can also produce dramatic and sudden climate swings.

[UPDATE 7/31/23:  In addition to volcanoes and asteroids, undersea volcanoes and exothermic releases must be considered.  We are currently experiencing a dramatic and sudden rise in ocean temps which largely occurred over a 4 week period beginning in March, 2023.  The theory is that heat from the Earth's core did this.  An ocean cannot be rapidly heated from above due to marginally hotter air. But an exothermic release from the Earth's core (as hot as the surface of the sun!) could do that.  This theory has been brilliantly fleshed-out over a few years in a post on website. 

Moreover, in January, 2022, the largest undersea volcano ever recorded erupted and sent unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere.  As we know, 70% of the greenhouse effect is due to water vapor, and the amount from this undersea release is expected to take years if not decades to cycle through.  Unknown is the thermal footprint this had on deep Pacific Ocean temps because our measurements are largely based on surface temps. ]

So, CO2 did not cause either The Great Ice Age or any of the many tens of thousands of cyclical coolings and warmings that preceded it.  It's the fluctuating sun and our wonky orbit that cause climate change.

(A newer ice core at Allan Hills, Antarctica claims to go back over 1.2 million years, and it also confirms Milankovitch.)

Pop quiz:
Still, within the Milankovitch and Eddy cycles, we know that:
A. CO2 drives climate change 
B. Climate drives CO2 change
Just because Arrhenius et al were wrong about The Great Ice Age doesn't mean they are also wrong about what will happen if we add massive amounts of CO2 to our atmosphere.  According to the CO2 theory of global warming, as CO2 increases, so will temperatures.
    That's why you are probably certain that CO2 still drives climate change.  A consensus of scientists, academics, politicians, and celebrities have been telling you for years that higher CO2 concentrations will cause the Earth to get hotter.  As we burn more and more fossil fuels, that releases more CO2 into the air.  CO2 is a greenhouse gas, ergo the Earth gets hotter.  It's simple.

    Except, that's not what happens.  Along with temperature records going back 800,000 years, we also got CO2 records for the same time span.

    Here's the CO2 and temperature record from the Dome C ice core: 

    Dome C Temperature and CO2 for 800,000 Years (Red = CO2, Blue = Temps)

    At first glance temperature and CO2 appear to be closely correlated.  One might even conclude that Arrhenius was right and that CO2 caused the ice ages.      

    But when zooming in on this graph, something interesting is revealed; CO2 trails temperature by 1200 years, + or - 700 years!  

    Climate Change (blue) precedes CO2 Change by 1200, + or - 700 Years

    CO2 and the other atmospheric gasses behave somewhat like water vapor, except over a longer timeframe.  We know that hotter air can retain water vapor in greater concentrations than colder air.  There is also a water cycle that is constantly moving water from vapor, to precipitation, to ground, to sea, and then back to vapor.  CO2 has a similar cycle, just not as quick. (See Henry's Law)  

    A number of datasets from ice and sediment cores confirm this finding.  The hotter it gets on Earth, the more CO2 can be found in the atmosphere.  Contrary to what you've been told, CO2 does not drive climate.  Climate drives CO2!  The alleged cause is actually an effect.

    Pop Quiz:
    Still, pumping CO2 into the atmosphere is a new thing, and that's what makes this an existential threat!
    A. True
    B. False 
    As everyone since Keeling knows, CO2 levels are in-fact rising.  And who can forget Al Gore on the scissor lift in his movie showing CO2 going literally off the chart?  And as everyone knows since Arrhenius, more CO2 makes Earth hotter, right?

    Except, that's not what's happening.  Yes, we are in a warm period due to both Milankovitch and Eddy, and accordingly, CO2 is rising.  That's to be expected.  But the question remains: is this time different because we are burning fossil fuels?  Can CO2 work both ways?  Can it both be driven by temperature and also drive temperatures up?

    If greenhouse gasses both increase as temperatures go up, and then cause even more warming, why is the greenhouse effect not a runaway reaction? According to Arrhenius and modern global warming theory, the greenhouse effect should create a feedback loop.  Why isn't that visible in the ice core data? 

    The answer has to do with the light spectrum and each gasses' role in trapping radiation in the troposphere.  


    At the affected upgoing wavelengths, which are the ones involved in global warming, CO2 is already absorbing 100% of the radiation it is capable of absorbing.  Adding more CO2 into the atmosphere can not trap more than 100% of the affected radiation!  This is why the greenhouse effect is not a runaway reaction or a feedback loop.  It's a self-limiting reaction.

    In the 1800s, when Arrhenius was doing his calculations, the instruments for measuring the light spectrum this accurately did not exist. (Then again, neither did antibiotics, airplanes, Model T Fords, transistors...)

    Additionally, as CO2 increases, the CO2 cycle speeds up.  Here's an example of how the biosphere absorbs CO2 at faster rates:

    So, adding more CO2 into the atmosphere will not effect climate, and any CO2 increases will just grow the biosphere.  

    Pop Quiz:
    Still, there is a scientific consensus that says CO2 is uniquely warming our planet, and no one can prove otherwise.     
    A.  True
    B.  False

    Anyone who's taken a middle school science class knows the value of a control group.  Luckily, scientists have the ability to track temperature and CO2 on some of the other bodies around Earth.  Venus, Mars, and the Moon are particularly close to us and have yielded some interesting data.  If global warming theory is right, temperatures on those bodies should be un-correlated to Earth temps because they are free from the effects of industrialization!

    Except, that's not what's happening.  In an odd coincidence both Mars and the Moon are warming!  (Of course, it's still man's fault!)  Milankovitch is particularly relevant to the Moon, because as goes the Earth, so goes the Moon.  Eddy is particularly relevant to Mars, because as goes the Sun, so goes Mars.

    But there's more.

    In our solar system, only Venus, Earth, and Mars have atmospheres with CO2. Of the three, Venus is closest to the sun, has a dense atmosphere, is very hot, and has about 200,000 times the CO2 concentration of Earth.  Mars is furthest from the sun, has a very light atmosphere, is quite cold, and  still has about 14 times the CO2 concentration of Earth!  It appears that distance from the sun is what primarily drives climate on these three planets, not CO2. _________________________________________________________________________________

    Pop Quiz:

    Still, we know that global warming is true because all the predictions have been right!
    A. True
    B. False

    Real science can accurately predict the future.  If a cannon ball with a known mass, is fired from a cannon with a known amount of force, at a known trajectory, etc., science can predict exactly where it will land.  That's how science works.

    If global warming science is real and quantifiable, scientists would be able to similarly predict the future of climate.

    Except that's not what has happened.  In fact, every single dire prediction has been proven wrong.  100% wrong.  Here's a brief summary of what the experts have predicted:

    • Global famine by the year 2000 - Dr. Paul Ehrlich, Nobel Prize recipient, Professor 
    • Entire nations wiped out by 1999 - Noel Brown, U.N. Environmental Director
    • Ice caps will melt away and oceans will rise causing massive flooding by 2014 - Al Gore, VPOTUS, global warming evangelist
    • End of snow in England by 2015 - Dr. David Viner,  climate scientist at The University of East Anglia
    • Increased tornadoes and hurricanes - James Hanson, professor of climate at Columbia University & the high priest of global warming, and The U.N. IPCC
    • New Ice Age in Europe - Dr. Paul Ehrlich
    • Sub-Saharan Africa drying up - U.N. and World Bank
    • Massive flooding in China and India - Asian Development Bank and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
    • Polar Bear extinction - National Geographic, The New York Times, Guardian, among many.
    • Drastic Temperature Increases - James Hanson
    • The Earth will be in a “True Planetary Emergency” by 2016 unless greenhouse gasses are reduced - Al Gore
      None of those predictions came true.  Not one.  And that is just a tiny sampling.   

      And here are some of the bad predictions from just this past year!


      Pop Quiz:

      Still, we are under an existential threat because the Earth is progressively getting:
      A: Hotter 
      B: Colder 
      You are probably certain that the Earth is getting hotter.  The name global warming itself describes the danger.  You are probably familiar with the apocryphal "hockey stick" graph featured in "An Inconvenient Truth":

      Except, that's not what's happening in the long run:

      The Earth is actually getting cooler! 

      Five million years is not much when you consider the Earth is 4.5 billion years old.  That would take 900 - five million year graphs!  So, here's another graph estimating 65 million years of global climate change, still only a fraction of Earth's life.  Again, it clearly shows Earth is cooling.  

      The existential threat is that we will eventually freeze, not bake!


      Pop quiz:
      Still, in the 200,000 year history of mankind:
      A. It has never been this hot
      B. It's been much hotter before 

      No doubt you are sure it's never been this hot.  It says so on the "hockey stick" graph.  And just consider the melting glaciers!

      Yet, we know that 1100 years ago, when the Vikings first went to Iceland, there were no glaciers there.  Today, glaciers cover much of Iceland.  Similarly, Vikings settled on Greenland around the same time and successfully farmed there for 500 years.  But they abandoned Greenland in the mid 15th century, presumably because it got too cold.  Those two events are known as the Medieval Warm Period and The Little Ice Age. Curiously, you won't find either of those events on Al Gore's graph.

      Here's a graph that shows 10,000 years of climate change from ice cores on Greenland:

      And here's a map of glacial retreat in Glacier Bay, Alaska going back 2 1/2 centuries.  As you can see, glaciers have been in retreat since long before your SUV!

      We have enough data to know that this warm period is nothing new.   It's been hotter than this many times before, even in man's brief 200,000 year history.


      You are still free to believe in the CO2 theory of global warming.  Heck, you are free to believe in anything you want, including Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy!  But any serious person who looks into global warming must reflect long and hard before blindly waving a towel for the consensus.


      I was the founder of, one of the first companies to test market retail carbon credits.  I've been closely following the science and consensus of global warming for over 20 years.

      Ron Reich