Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Fact Check: Is Climate Change Real? [UPDATED]



A Socratic Guide To The Burning Question Of Our Time


Intro I

There's an old Jewish joke that goes something like this:

No matter what Shlomo did in bed, his wife could never achieve an orgasm. 
Since by Jewish law a wife is entitled to sexual pleasure, they decide to consult their Rabbi. 
The Rabbi listens to their story, strokes his beard, and makes the following suggestion: "Hire a strapping young man. While the two of you are making love, have the young man wave a towel over you. That will get God's attention and he will provide an orgasm."

They go home and follow the Rabbi's advice. They hire a handsome young man and he waves a towel over them as they make love. It does not help and the wife is still unsatisfied. Perplexed, they go back to the Rabbi.

"Okay,' he says to the husband, "Try it reversed. Have the young man make love to your wife and you wave the towel over them."

Once again, they follow the Rabbi's advice. They go home and hire the same strapping young man.

The young man gets into bed with the wife and the husband waves the towel. The young man gets to work with great enthusiasm and soon she has an enormous, room-shaking, ear-splitting, screaming orgasm.

The husband smiles, looks at the young man and says to him triumphantly, "See that, you schmuck? THAT'S how you wave a towel!"

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Intro II

Let’s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world.

In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus. There is no such thing as consensus science. If it’s consensus, it isn’t science. If it’s science, it isn’t consensus. Period.


Michael Crichton, author of "Jurassic Park", "Andromeda Strain", "Westworld", and numerous other works of fiction and non-fiction. Crichton also held a medical degree from Harvard.
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A Brief History of the Theory of Global Warming (aka Climate Change)


It all began back in the 1700s when some rock stars - no, not that kind of rock star, geologists actually - were traipsing around Europe and noticed that some of the boulders in the valleys matched the rocks on distant peaks.  The only plausible explanation for how those boulders traveled so far was that they must have been carried by ice.  This idea was fleshed-out a few decades later by a scientist studying skeletons and frozen remains of large mammals in Siberia.  Thus was born the idea of The  Great Ice Age.  But that opened up a whole new can-o-worms; if ice once covered the Earth, what melted the ice?

In 1824, around the same time these ideas were percolating, a scientist named Joseph Fourier figured out that Earth would be much colder without its atmosphere.  Air was trapping heat from the sun and keeping us warm, he said.  Fourier had discovered the greenhouse effect.

Building on Fourier's work, other scientists found that about 70% of the greenhouse effect was due to water vapor, 20% was due to carbon dioxide (CO2), and the final 10% was due to methane, ozone, and other gasses.  A theory developed that maybe changes in the atmosphere had ended The Great Ice Age.

Water vapor was dismissed as a cause because excess water condenses and falls-out as precipitation.  CO2, methane, and ozone do not cycle as quickly, so the theory of melting ice focused primarily on CO2, which while only .04% of the atmosphere, accounts for 20% of the warming effect.

Two things were going on at the same time as all this.  One was the industrial revolution and the burning of coal in newly invented steam engines.  The other was the observation that the existing glaciers were continuing to melt!   Could they be related and tied back to changes in CO2?

Along came a Swedish scientist named Svante Arrhenius, who in 1898 calculated the hypothetical climate change that would result if atmospheric CO2 was cut in half.  He calculated that the Earth would be glaciated...as it was during The Great Ice Age!  He also calculated that if CO2 doubled, we'd have melting ice and ...global warming!  So, the "modern" CO2 theory of global warming dates back to the calculations Arrhenius did 120 years ago in an attempt to explain the onset and demise of The Great Ice Age.   

Meanwhile, we've been burning progressively more carbon fuels like coal, oil, and gas in the last 120 years.  Finally, in 1960, an American scientist named David Keeling began measuring CO2 levels at an observatory in Hawaii.  What he discovered was that CO2 was trending up at an alarming rate!  

So with Keeling showing CO2 skyrocketing, Arrhenius' saying we are going to fry if CO2 rises, and glaciers continuing to melt, that eventually leads to Al Gore, Kyoto, Paris, The UN IPCC, and a scientific "consensus" saying global warming is an "existential threat". (Meaning, the end is nigh!)

In 2009, the U.S. government under Barack Obama officially declared that CO2 emissions endangered life on Earth.  Whole generations now believe we are doomed.  Some have even stopped having children thinking there is no future.   

All from a gas that humans exhale, that plants inhale, that makes up only .04% of our atmosphere, and that formed the basis of a theory developed in the 1800s to try and explain the The Great Ice Age!

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Pop Quiz:

So, what really ended The Great Ice Age?
A. CO2
B. Mr. Milankovitch

Since this whole CO2 inquiry began as an attempt to explain The Great Ice Age, one of the first questions to ask is, was the premise right?  Have we learned anything new since Fourier, Arrhenius, Keeling, et al?  Do we now know what caused and ended The Great Ice Age?

You are probably certain it was CO2.  After all, you've been told for years that CO2  drives climate.  Since the 1800s and Arrhenius we've believed that changes in CO2 can have dramatic effects.  We still believe CO2 is melting glaciers today.  It's "settled science" after all.

Except, that's not what happened.  It turns out, Mr. Milankovitch did it.  (Yup, our climate has been hacked by the Russians! Actually, he was Serbian, just sounds Russian.)  Milutin Milankovitch was a scientist who figured out in the 1920s that the Earth has a cyclical relationship to the sun.  It tilts. It wobbles. It's orbit changes.  Some cycles take 100,000 years to complete.  Some take 41,000 years.  Some take 23,000 years.  The effect of all this is rather dramatic... ta da... climate change!

MILANKOVITCH CYCLES



Of course, Milankovitch was instantly dismissed as a kook.  Even today as I'm typing this, his name is unrecognized by the spell-check gremlins in my computer.  Fourier, Arrhenius, and Keeling, however, are spell-check VIPs.

Until 1998, Milankovitch got no respect.  But then a funny thing happened down in Antarctica.  Scientists drilled an ice core at a place called Vostok (more Russians!) that gave them a 420,000 year climate history, and voila, there were major ice ages and warmings every 100,000 years.  There were also shorter cycles in between.  Milankovitch could no longer be dismissed, except of course by spell-check.

           



Then in 2000 another Antarctic ice core was obtained at Dome C that goes back 800,000 years.  Again it confirmed Milankovitch.  The Great Ice Age now had a plausible explanation.  The Earth's relationship to the sun caused major climate change - global coolings and global warmings - going back as far as we can see.

Dome C Temperature Estimates


If major climate change happens at least every 100,000 years, as Milankovitch theorized, and the Earth is 4.5 billion years old, then there have been 45,000 of those alone.  The Great Ice Age was just the latest in a countless series of coolings and warmings!

Another name that should get mentioned at this point is Eddy, as in John A. Eddy.   Eddy was one of the most recent astronomers to study the cyclical output of the sun.  He published a groundbreaking study in 1976 and named the most recent solar minimums and maximums.   While Milankovitch cycles play out over tens of thousands of years, solar cycles can be as short as 11 years.  They are also closely correlated with...ta da...climate change!

Here are some of the solar minimums and maximums from recent Earth history that resulted in major global warmings and mini-ice ages:



You can see why glaciers are melting today by looking at the right side of the solar activity graph. We are also near a peak in the Milankovitch cycle.  Something would be horribly wrong if glaciers were NOT melting today!

So between Milankovitch's orbital cycles and Eddy's solar cycles, these are the bases for ice ages and their demise.  These are the bases for perpetual climate change.  In addition, one-time events like volcanoes and asteroids can also produce dramatic and sudden climate swings.

[UPDATE 7/31/23:  In addition to volcanoes and asteroids, undersea volcanoes and exothermic releases must be considered.  We are currently experiencing a dramatic and sudden rise in ocean temps which largely occurred over a 4 week period beginning in March, 2023.  The theory is that heat from the Earth's core did this.  An ocean cannot be rapidly heated from above due to marginally hotter air. But an exothermic release from the Earth's core (as hot as the surface of the sun!) could do that.  This theory has been brilliantly fleshed-out over a few years in a post on theethicalskeptic.com website.  https://theethicalskeptic.com/2020/02/16/the-climate-change-alternative-we-ignore-to-our-peril/ 

Moreover, in January, 2022, the largest undersea volcano ever recorded erupted and sent unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere.  As we know, 70% of the greenhouse effect is due to water vapor, and the amount from this undersea release is expected to take years if not decades to cycle through.  Unknown is the thermal footprint this had on deep Pacific Ocean temps because our measurements are largely based on surface temps.   https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere ]


So, CO2 did not cause either The Great Ice Age or any of the many tens of thousands of cyclical coolings and warmings that preceded it.  It's the fluctuating sun and our wonky orbit that cause climate change.

(A newer ice core at Allan Hills, Antarctica claims to go back over 1.2 million years, and it also confirms Milankovitch.)
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Pop quiz:
Still, within the Milankovitch and Eddy cycles, we know that:
A. CO2 drives climate change 
B. Climate drives CO2 change
Just because Arrhenius et al were wrong about The Great Ice Age doesn't mean they are also wrong about what will happen if we add massive amounts of CO2 to our atmosphere.  According to the CO2 theory of global warming, as CO2 increases, so will temperatures.
    That's why you are probably certain that CO2 still drives climate change.  A consensus of scientists, academics, politicians, and celebrities have been telling you for years that higher CO2 concentrations will cause the Earth to get hotter.  As we burn more and more fossil fuels, that releases more CO2 into the air.  CO2 is a greenhouse gas, ergo the Earth gets hotter.  It's simple.

    Except, that's not what happens.  Along with temperature records going back 800,000 years, we also got CO2 records for the same time span.

    Here's the CO2 and temperature record from the Dome C ice core: 

    Dome C Temperature and CO2 for 800,000 Years (Red = CO2, Blue = Temps)




    At first glance temperature and CO2 appear to be closely correlated.  One might even conclude that Arrhenius was right and that CO2 caused the ice ages.      

    But when zooming in on this graph, something interesting is revealed; CO2 trails temperature by 1200 years, + or - 700 years!  

    Climate Change (blue) precedes CO2 Change by 1200, + or - 700 Years


    CO2 and the other atmospheric gasses behave somewhat like water vapor, except over a longer timeframe.  We know that hotter air can retain water vapor in greater concentrations than colder air.  There is also a water cycle that is constantly moving water from vapor, to precipitation, to ground, to sea, and then back to vapor.  CO2 has a similar cycle, just not as quick. (See Henry's Law)  

    A number of datasets from ice and sediment cores confirm this finding.  The hotter it gets on Earth, the more CO2 can be found in the atmosphere.  Contrary to what you've been told, CO2 does not drive climate.  Climate drives CO2!  The alleged cause is actually an effect.
             
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    Pop Quiz:
    Still, pumping CO2 into the atmosphere is a new thing, and that's what makes this an existential threat!
    A. True
    B. False 
    As everyone since Keeling knows, CO2 levels are in-fact rising.  And who can forget Al Gore on the scissor lift in his movie showing CO2 going literally off the chart?  And as everyone knows since Arrhenius, more CO2 makes Earth hotter, right?

    Except, that's not what's happening.  Yes, we are in a warm period due to both Milankovitch and Eddy, and accordingly, CO2 is rising.  That's to be expected.  But the question remains: is this time different because we are burning fossil fuels?  Can CO2 work both ways?  Can it both be driven by temperature and also drive temperatures up?

    If greenhouse gasses both increase as temperatures go up, and then cause even more warming, why is the greenhouse effect not a runaway reaction? According to Arrhenius and modern global warming theory, the greenhouse effect should create a feedback loop.  Why isn't that visible in the ice core data? 

    The answer has to do with the light spectrum and each gasses' role in trapping radiation in the troposphere.  

       

    At the affected upgoing wavelengths, which are the ones involved in global warming, CO2 is already absorbing 100% of the radiation it is capable of absorbing.  Adding more CO2 into the atmosphere can not trap more than 100% of the affected radiation!  This is why the greenhouse effect is not a runaway reaction or a feedback loop.  It's a self-limiting reaction.

    In the 1800s, when Arrhenius was doing his calculations, the instruments for measuring the light spectrum this accurately did not exist. (Then again, neither did antibiotics, airplanes, Model T Fords, transistors...)

    Additionally, as CO2 increases, the CO2 cycle speeds up.  Here's an example of how the biosphere absorbs CO2 at faster rates:



    So, adding more CO2 into the atmosphere will not effect climate, and any CO2 increases will just grow the biosphere.  
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    Pop Quiz:
    Still, there is a scientific consensus that says CO2 is uniquely warming our planet, and no one can prove otherwise.     
    A.  True
    B.  False

    Anyone who's taken a middle school science class knows the value of a control group.  Luckily, scientists have the ability to track temperature and CO2 on some of the other bodies around Earth.  Venus, Mars, and the Moon are particularly close to us and have yielded some interesting data.  If global warming theory is right, temperatures on those bodies should be un-correlated to Earth temps because they are free from the effects of industrialization!

    Except, that's not what's happening.  In an odd coincidence both Mars and the Moon are warming!  (Of course, it's still man's fault!)  Milankovitch is particularly relevant to the Moon, because as goes the Earth, so goes the Moon.  Eddy is particularly relevant to Mars, because as goes the Sun, so goes Mars.

    But there's more.

    In our solar system, only Venus, Earth, and Mars have atmospheres with CO2. Of the three, Venus is closest to the sun, has a dense atmosphere, is very hot, and has about 200,000 times the CO2 concentration of Earth.  Mars is furthest from the sun, has a very light atmosphere, is quite cold, and  still has about 14 times the CO2 concentration of Earth!  It appears that distance from the sun is what primarily drives climate on these three planets, not CO2. _________________________________________________________________________________


    Pop Quiz:

    Still, we know that global warming is true because all the predictions have been right!
    A. True
    B. False

    Real science can accurately predict the future.  If a cannon ball with a known mass, is fired from a cannon with a known amount of force, at a known trajectory, etc., science can predict exactly where it will land.  That's how science works.

    If global warming science is real and quantifiable, scientists would be able to similarly predict the future of climate.

    Except that's not what has happened.  In fact, every single dire prediction has been proven wrong.  100% wrong.  Here's a brief summary of what the experts have predicted:

    • Global famine by the year 2000 - Dr. Paul Ehrlich, Nobel Prize recipient, Professor 
    • Entire nations wiped out by 1999 - Noel Brown, U.N. Environmental Director
    • Ice caps will melt away and oceans will rise causing massive flooding by 2014 - Al Gore, VPOTUS, global warming evangelist
    • End of snow in England by 2015 - Dr. David Viner,  climate scientist at The University of East Anglia
    • Increased tornadoes and hurricanes - James Hanson, professor of climate at Columbia University & the high priest of global warming, and The U.N. IPCC
    • New Ice Age in Europe - Dr. Paul Ehrlich
    • Sub-Saharan Africa drying up - U.N. and World Bank
    • Massive flooding in China and India - Asian Development Bank and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
    • Polar Bear extinction - National Geographic, The New York Times, Guardian, among many.
    • Drastic Temperature Increases - James Hanson
    • The Earth will be in a “True Planetary Emergency” by 2016 unless greenhouse gasses are reduced - Al Gore
      None of those predictions came true.  Not one.  And that is just a tiny sampling.   


      And here are some of the bad predictions from just this past year!

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      Pop Quiz:

      Still, we are under an existential threat because the Earth is progressively getting:
      A: Hotter 
      B: Colder 
      You are probably certain that the Earth is getting hotter.  The name global warming itself describes the danger.  You are probably familiar with the apocryphal "hockey stick" graph featured in "An Inconvenient Truth":



      Except, that's not what's happening in the long run:
        




      The Earth is actually getting cooler! 

      Five million years is not much when you consider the Earth is 4.5 billion years old.  That would take 900 - five million year graphs!  So, here's another graph estimating 65 million years of global climate change, still only a fraction of Earth's life.  Again, it clearly shows Earth is cooling.  

          
      The existential threat is that we will eventually freeze, not bake!

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      Pop quiz:
      Still, in the 200,000 year history of mankind:
      A. It has never been this hot
      B. It's been much hotter before 

      No doubt you are sure it's never been this hot.  It says so on the "hockey stick" graph.  And just consider the melting glaciers!

      Yet, we know that 1100 years ago, when the Vikings first went to Iceland, there were no glaciers there.  Today, glaciers cover much of Iceland.  Similarly, Vikings settled on Greenland around the same time and successfully farmed there for 500 years.  But they abandoned Greenland in the mid 15th century, presumably because it got too cold.  Those two events are known as the Medieval Warm Period and The Little Ice Age. Curiously, you won't find either of those events on Al Gore's graph.

      Here's a graph that shows 10,000 years of climate change from ice cores on Greenland:





      And here's a map of glacial retreat in Glacier Bay, Alaska going back 2 1/2 centuries.  As you can see, glaciers have been in retreat since long before your SUV!





      We have enough data to know that this warm period is nothing new.   It's been hotter than this many times before, even in man's brief 200,000 year history.

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      You are still free to believe in the CO2 theory of global warming.  Heck, you are free to believe in anything you want, including Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy!  But any serious person who looks into global warming must reflect long and hard before blindly waving a towel for the consensus.

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      I was the founder of Kindzone.com, one of the first companies to test market retail carbon credits.  I've been closely following the science and consensus of global warming for over 20 years.

      Ron Reich   

      Tuesday, October 12, 2021

      Fact Check: Is Peter McCullough the COVID Paul Revere? [UPDATED]



      Dr. Peter McCullough is my favorite physician on the subject of COVID, vaccines, early treatment, the campaign against repurposed drugs, and the context of it all.  There are numerous doctors and scientist who are in the same class, but very few combine expertise, fearlessness, and communication skills quite the way McCullough does.

      Here's the latest from Dr. McCullough and it's a doozy.  He has recently moved past niceties and hedgy words and gone full declarative:  

      • these so-called vaccines are dangerous and should be stopped at once
      • the long term effects on women of child-bearing age are completely unknown
      • they are ineffective in the first place
      • these vaccines violate the Nuremberg code and other international and U.S. laws
      • early treatment was always the best approach in the middle of a pandemic
      • there are numerous effective early treatment combinations that are known to work
      • there is a war on early treatment which has prevented it in much of the world
      • half the deaths could have been avoided through early treatment
      • Dr.s, regulators, media, public, etc. are all suffering a mass psychosis
      • this is not JUST about money
      • something else is at play
      What makes this all so remarkable is this is not Alex Jones saying these things.  Dr. McCullough is too credentialed and renowned to be ignored.

      Here he is talking to an audience of entirely surgeons and physicians.  Notice the reception he gets from these hands-on experts.  

      If he is the COVID Paul Revere, it would be a huge promotion for the esteemed Mr. Revere.

      Watch Dr. McCullough's speech to the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons posted October 7th, 2021 here:

      https://rumble.com/vnfwq7-dr.-peter-mccullough-presents-bold-challenge-to-those-who-crush-our-rights.html


      [UPDATE:  I'm gonna take it up a notch and say that Peter McCullough is the George Washington of Covid.  He's the "Indispensable Man" of the pandemic.  That's the update.  Here's his latest presentation which I'll also post as a new blog:   https://aapsonline.org/presentation-by-peter-mccullough-md-on-10-27-2021/ ]. 

      Friday, September 10, 2021

      Fact Check: Mabs not Jabs! [UPDATED]


      If you had to pick one state that best fits the description "canary-in-the-coal-mine" it would have to be Florida.  From what we know about COVID-19 risk, Florida has it all: age, obesity, co-morbidities, poverty, immigrants, etc., you name it they've got it.

      With that in mind, consider the above chart and some significant dates:     
       

      • June 15th, 2020 - The U.S. FDA revokes Emergency Use Authorization for Hydroxychloroquine.  The EUA had been granted three months earlier and no state embraced HCQ quite like Florida.  (Side note: Though I live in Utah, I had to get my first prescription for HCQ from a Florida pharmacy.) Immediately following the revocation, deaths spiked.  And not just in Florida - it was nationwide.
      • June 24th, 2021 -  Florida reaches 50% average vaccination rate.  (55% have 1 shot, 46% have 2 shots.)  Coincidentally, this marks the low point in deaths.
      • July 15th, 2021 - Pharmacists stop filling prescriptions for Ivermectin.  Doesn't matter if you have a legal prescription from a licensed Dr., you can no longer get Ivermectin in most cases from a pharmacy.  The FDA, CDC, NIH, and WHO had been doing everything they could to block Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine all along in an apparent attempt to force everyone to get vaccinated, but they had always allowed independent doctors to practice medicine and write prescriptions.  That quietly changed on 7/15/21 when the word went out to pharmacists to stop filling the prescriptions.  Deaths immediately take-off in FL and reach their highest point in the pandemic.  
      • August 16th, 2021 - Florida Governor Ron DeSantis announces a unique initiative to provide free, no prescription, no PCR test, Monoclonal Antibody (mAb) sites throughout the state and by 8/16 many of the sites are up and running.  Deaths from COVID-19 immediately drop like a rock to the point they have reached a new low.   
      [UPDATE:  Some have pointed out that mAbs have been widely available since early 2021, but as far as I know,  most states require a prescription and a positive PCR test.  Florida has removed all those speed bumps and thus made mAbs available as a true early outpatient treatment, which appears to be the key to stopping this disease.] 

      Disclaimer:  These occurrences could all be coincidental, and I am merely an investigative journalist and blogger.  

      That said, I have been studying these "coincidences" for the last 18 months and I can tell you they are not happenstance.  You cannot dismiss anecdotal evidence when it all points in the same direction everywhere around the globe.  

      My conclusions:  1.  The jabs wane and promote resistant variants.  (Safety is another issue entirely and we won't know the full story on that for years, but what we already know is enough to halt these jabs for all but the highest risk patients.) 2.  Early treatment with HCQ, IVM, and Monoclonal Antibodies as part of a complementary approach saves lives.  (SEE REFERENCE SECTION BELOW) 

      So what is our federal government doing?  Continuing to force vaccines through unethical and unconstitutional mandates, and doing everything they can to block people from getting early outpatient treatment with HCQ, IVM, and mAbs.  

      Question: If our government was actively trying to kill us, what would they do differently?  Answer: Nothing. 

      [UPDATE 9/16: The Biden Administration is now limiting the supply of mAbs to red states and in particular, Florida. They cannot afford to allow DeSantis to look good while saving the lives of his statistically much older and more vulnerable population.   https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/bidens-team-tightens-grip-on-state-use-of-covid-antibody-treatments/ar-AAOrtzr ]

      [UPDATE 9/17:  Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has gone directly to Glaxo to purchase mAbs, thus bypassing Biden's rationing attempt:   https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2021/09/16/florida-desantis-responds-to-biden-limiting-florida-covid-therapeutics-announces-monoclonal-antibody-purchases-directly-from-glaxo-smith-kline/ ]
      ________________________________________________________________________

      Reference Section

      Dr. Peter McCullough et al. early treatment protocol: 

      FLCCC - Dr. Paul Marik and Dr. Pierre Kory et al. early treatment protocol:

      Links to several clinical Physician protocols: 

      Links to over 900 early treatment studies including HCQ, IVM, and MABs:

      Saturday, August 28, 2021

      Dr. Peter McCullough, 8/26/21


      This speech by Dr. Peter McCullough is one for the ages.  Brought me to tears.  If you watch only one Dr. talk about COVID-19 for the entire pandemic, make it Peter McCullough on 8/26/21.  

      (It has not been censored yet, so the Rumble link below should work.) 

      Dr. Peter McCullough 8/26/21

      Monday, August 16, 2021

      Fact Check: The Truth about Afghanistan [UPDATED]



      (To skip right to the video, click here: VIDEO - TALIBAN SONG PARODY)

      Some reminders about Afghanistan:  

      Afghanistan was Obama's War, not Bush's.  Obama's and Biden's.  And together they own this disaster of a pull-out.  

      Remember:  75% of US combat casualties were under Obama/Biden, not George W Bush!  

      Sure, Bush went into Afghanistan first, but he had no choice; we'd been attacked.  By the time Bush handed it over to Obama, we had achieved our goals and Bush was winding things down.  

      So Obama had a choice: continue the pullout and declare victory, or re-escalate the war and take a stab at nation building.  On the assumption that Afghanistan was the "good" war as opposed to Iraq, and the mistaken belief that Osama bin Laden was still there, he made the tragic decision to re-escalate the war.  At the same time,  he tied the hands of U.S. troops with impossible rules of engagement.  The result was a massive increase in Taliban attacks and U.S. casualties. 

      Then Obama released the top Taliban commanders in exchange for a traitor named Bowe Bergdahl.  Remember that?

      That's the fuster cluck Donald Trump inherited.  Under Trump, the war was again de-escalated, rules of engagement returned to normalcy, and combat deaths were slashed to the point there were none in his last year.  In effect the "war" was no more a war than our continued presence in Japan or Germany.  Meanwhile, the Taliban were not in charge, and Afghanistan was continuing on a path to some semblance of human rights normalcy. Near the end of his term, Trump negotiated a conditional plan to remove all troops which was in place when Biden came into office.  

      Now Biden had a choice: continue the conditional plan to remove all troops, re-escalate the war, or just pull out at a date certain with no conditions.  Biden chose the latter.  He pulled out with NO condidtions.  Just stripped them right out.  Next he executed a hasty, incompetent, unconditional retreat.  The inevitable result is the Taliban are in control of the entire country and armed to the teeth with $90 billion of the finest U.S. military weapons and vehicles.  Heck-of-a-job, Joe! 

      A more complete humiliation could not be possible.

      ________________________________________________________________________________ 

      Here is a video I made in 2014 right after Obama released the top Taliban commanders in exchange for Bowe Bergdahl.  These are the leaders who marched into Kabul this weekend.              

      (This video was banned on YouTube and Rumble but I was able to repost it on Bitchute for now, with warnings.  Please support Bitchute!) 

      VIDEO - TALIBAN SONG PARODY


      [UPDATE]  4 of the 5 Gitmo prisoners Obama freed for Bowe Bergdahl are now Taliban Govt Commanders! (unexpectedly)








      Saturday, July 10, 2021

      Fact Check: Why Many Believe In Election Fraud

      Have you read this thread by Darryl Cooper (@MartyrMade) about the mindset that led people to conclude fraud decided the 2020 election?  Tucker Carlson thought it worthy enough that he read it in its entirety on his show last night.  It is worth reading because it is a concise distillation of the Kafkaesque gaslighting we have been subjected to these last five years.  The whole thing is pasted below.  

      But first,  here's my own take on that subject and the mindset on 1/6.  Please watch and share: (LINK)





      via Darryl Cooper (@MartyrMade): 

      I think I’ve had discussions w/enough Boomer-tier Trump supporters who believe the 2020 election was fraudulent to extract a general theory about their perspective. It is also the perspective of most of the people at the Capitol on 1/6, and probably even Trump himself. 1/x

      Most believe some or all of the theories involving midnight ballots, voting machines, etc, but what you find when you talk to them is that, while they’ll defend those positions w/info they got from Hannity or Breitbart or whatever, they’re not particularly attached to them. 2/x

      Here are the facts – actual, confirmed facts – that shape their perspective: 1) The FBI/etc spied on the 2016 Trump campaign using evidence manufactured by the Clinton campaign. We now know that all involved knew it was fake from Day 1 (see: Brennan’s July 2016 memo, etc). 3/x

      These are Tea Party people. The types who give their kids a pocket Constitution for their birthday and have Founding Fathers memes in their bios. The intel community spying on a presidential campaign using fake evidence (incl forged documents) is a big deal to them. 4/x

      Everyone involved lied about their involvement as long as they could. We only learned the DNC paid for the manufactured evidence because of a court order. Comey denied on TV knowing the DNC paid for it, when we have emails from a year earlier proving that he knew. 5/x

      This was true with everyone, from CIA Dir Brennan & Adam Schiff – who were on TV saying they’d seen clear evidence of collusion w/Russia, while admitting under oath behind closed doors that they hadn’t – all the way down the line. In the end we learned that it was ALL fake. 6/x

      At first, many Trump ppl were worried there must be some collusion, because every media & intel agency wouldn’t make it up out of nothing. When it was clear that they had made it up, people expected a reckoning, and shed many illusions about their gov’t when it didn’t happen. 7/x

      We know as fact: a) The Steele dossier was the sole evidence used to justify spying on the Trump campaign, b) The FBI knew the Steele dossier was a DNC op, c) Steele’s source told the FBI the info was unserious, d) they did not inform the court of any of this and kept spying. 8/x

      Trump supporters know the collusion case front and back. They went from worrying the collusion must be real, to suspecting it might be fake, to realizing it was a scam, then watched as every institution – agencies, the press, Congress, academia – gaslit them for another year. 9/x

      Worse, collusion was used to scare people away from working in the administration. They knew their entire lives would be investigated. Many quit because they were being bankrupted by legal fees. The DoJ, press, & gov’t destroyed lives and actively subverted an elected admin. 10/x

      This is where people whose political identity was largely defined by a naive belief in what they learned in Civics class began to see the outline of a Regime that crossed all institutional boundaries. Because it had stepped out of the shadows to unite against an interloper. 11/x

      GOP propaganda still has many of them thinking in terms of partisan binaries, but A LOT of Trump supporters see that the Regime is not partisan. They all know that the same institutions would have taken opposite sides if it was a Tulsi Gabbard vs Jeb Bush election. 12/x

      It’s hard to describe to people on the left (who are used to thinking of gov’t as a conspiracy… Watergate, COINTELPRO, WMD, etc) how shocking & disillusioning this was for people who encourage their sons to enlist in the Army, and hate ppl who don’t stand for the Anthem. 13/x

      They could have managed the shock if it only involved the government. But the behavior of the corporate press is really what radicalized them. They hate journalists more than they hate any politician or gov’t official, because they feel most betrayed by them. 14/x

      The idea that the press is driven by ratings/sensationalism became untenable. If that were true, they’d be all over the Epstein story. The corporate press is the propaganda arm of the Regime they now see in outline. Nothing anyone says will ever make them unsee that, period. 15/x

      This is profoundly disorienting. Many of them don’t know for certain whether ballots were faked in November 2020, but they know for absolute certain that the press, the FBI, etc would lie to them if there was. They have every reason to believe that, and it’s probably true. 16/x

      They watched the press behave like animals for four years. Tens of millions of people will always see Kavanaugh as a gang rapist, based on nothing, because of CNN. And CNN seems proud of that. They led a lynch mob against a high school kid. They cheered on a summer of riots. 17/x

      They always claimed the media had liberal bias, fine, whatever. They still thought the press would admit truth if they were cornered. Now they don’t. It’s a different thing to watch them invent stories whole cloth in order to destroy regular lives and spark mass violence. 18/x

      Time Mag told us that during the 2020 riots, there were weekly conference calls involving, among others, leaders of the protests, the local officials who refused to stop them, and media people who framed them for political effect. In Ukraine we call that a color revolution. 19/x

      Throughout the summer, Democrat governors took advantage of COVID to change voting procedures. It wasn’t just the mail-ins (they lowered signature matching standards, etc). After the collusion scam, the fake impeachment, Trump ppl expected shenanigans by now. 20/x

      Re: “fake impeachment”, we now know that Trump’s request for Ukraine to cooperate w/the DOJ regarding Biden’s $ activities in Ukraine was in support of an active investigation being pursued by the FBI and Ukraine AG at the time, and so a completely legitimate request. 21/x

      Then you get the Hunter laptop scandal. Big Tech ran a full-on censorship campaign against a major newspaper to protect a political candidate. Period. Everyone knows it, all of the Tech companies now admit it was a “mistake” – but, ya know, the election’s over, so who cares? 22/x

      Goes w/o saying, but: If the NY Times had Don Jr’s laptop, full of pics of him smoking crack and engaging in group sex, lots of lurid family drama, emails describing direct corruption and backed up by the CEO of the company they were using, the NYT wouldn’t have been banned. 23/x

      Think back: Stories about Trump being pissed on by Russian prostitutes and blackmailed by Putin were promoted as fact, and the only evidence was a document paid for by his opposition and disavowed by its source. The NY Post was banned for reporting on true information. 24/x

      The reaction of Trump ppl to all this was not, “no fair!” That’s how they felt about Romney’s “binders of women” in 2012. This is different. Now they see, correctly, that every institution is captured by ppl who will use any means to exclude them from the political process. 25/x

      And yet they showed up in record numbers to vote. He got 13m more votes than in 2016, 10m more than Clinton got! As election night dragged on, they allowed themselves some hope. But when the four critical swing states (and only those states) went dark at midnight, they knew. 26/x

      Over the ensuing weeks, they got shuffled around by grifters and media scam artists selling them conspiracy theories. They latched onto one, then another increasingly absurd theory as they tried to put a concrete name on something very real. 27/x

      Media & Tech did everything to make things worse. Everything about the election was strange – the changes to procedure, unprecedented mail-in voting, the delays, etc – but rather than admit that and make everything transparent, they banned discussion of it (even in DMs!). 28/x

      Everyone knows that, just as Don Jr’s laptop would’ve been the story of the century, if everything about the election dispute was the same, except the parties were reversed, suspicions about the outcome would’ve been Taken Very Seriously. See 2016 for proof. 29/x

      Even the courts’ refusal of the case gets nowhere w/them, because of how the opposition embraced mass political violence. They’ll say, w/good reason: What judge will stick his neck out for Trump knowing he’ll be destroyed in the media as a violent mob burns down his house? 30/x

      It’s a fact, according to Time Magazine, that mass riots were planned in cities across the country if Trump won. Sure, they were “protests”, but they were planned by the same people as during the summer, and everyone knows what it would have meant. Judges have families, too. 31/x

      Forget the ballot conspiracies. It’s a fact that governors used COVID to unconstitutionally alter election procedures (the Constitution states that only legislatures can do so) to help Biden to make up for a massive enthusiasm gap by gaming the mail-in ballot system. 32/x

      They knew it was unconstitutional, it’s right there in plain English. But they knew the cases wouldn’t see court until after the election. And what judge will toss millions of ballots because a governor broke the rules? The threat of mass riots wasn’t implied, it was direct. 33/x a) The entrenched bureaucracy & security state subverted Trump from Day 1, b) The press is part of the operation, c) Election rules were changed, d) Big Tech censors opposition, e) Political violence is legitimized & encouraged, f) Trump is banned from social media. 34/x

      They were led down some rabbit holes, but they are absolutely right that their gov’t is monopolized by a Regime that believes they are beneath representation, and will observe no limits to keep them getting it. Trump fans should be happy he lost; it might’ve kept him alive. /end


      Friday, June 25, 2021

      Fact Check: Who Killed Hydroxychloroquine?


       This. Blew. My. Effing. Mind.

      Yale's Dr. Harvey Risch names names: Rick Bright, Janet Woodcock, Anthony Fauci, The FDA, and others as conspirators who prevented Hydroxychloroquine from saving millions from the ravages of COVID-19.  This is an epic bombshell from one of the bravest heavyweights in the medical field.   

      Please watch this and share it before it is memory-holed.  We now live behind an "iRon Curtain" where doctors, scientists, journalists, bloggers, and ordinary citizens are prevented from disseminating any information that counters the approved narrative from the Totalitarian Oligarchy.  (When this video gets banned, I'll repost its Rumble or Bitchute link.)  

      Here's the link if you can't see the embed: https://youtu.be/x2DxP-6wHoY

      Thursday, June 3, 2021

      Fact Check: Fauci Has Been Lying All Along

      Yesterday, thousands of Dr. Anthony Fauci's emails were released as part of a FOIA request.  Though they were heavily redacted, they did highlight some interesting incongruencies between his public statements and what he was being told privately.  Here's a summary.  

      But these emails are nothing compared to the public record already compiled in the case against Tony Fauci.    

      For instance, have you seen the lengthy dossier documenting the alleged crimes of Dr. Anthony Fauci?  Mind you, these are not the errors in judgement we hear so much about.  Truly anyone could be guilty of those in an emergency.  No, these are crimes of commission painstakingly detailed by David E. Martin, PhD,  and there have likely been many more since this list was compiled.  

      Read the dossier as you would any pre-charging document. That is to say, it does not constitute proof of wrongdoing.  But if you read it, it will convince you of one thing: Saint Anthony is highly conflicted and at the very least should have recused himself on all matters involving off-patent antivirals.    

      Here's the full link to the Fauci Dossier: 

      https://f.hubspotusercontent10.net/hubfs/8079569/The%20FauciCOVID-19%20Dossier.pdf

      What may be new to you is that prior to this there was no good explanation for Dr. Fauci's odd behavior.  That's no longer the case.  Moderna and NIAID, Dr. Fauci's fiefdom, jointly own the patent on the Moderna mRNA vaccines. He and his organization had a pony in the race.  Their bets paid off big by keeping antivirals like Hydroxychloroquine, Ivermectin, and Fluvoxamine from being accepted. The FDA does not approve vaccines for diseases for which there are known cures, and therefore no cure could be allowed to ever be known!  Millions were killed in the bargain.

      And they all apparently knew COVID-19 was coming long before the Western world ever heard of SARS-CoV-2;  The vaccine was in development well before December 2019!   

      Again, here's the full link to that story:  https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2021/02/huge-exclusive-dr-baric-reviewing-modernas-dr-faucis-coronavirus-vaccine-december-2019-know/

      ___________________________________________________________

      Note:  I've been opining about Dr. Fauci's malfeasance for over a year now.  Here are some brief excerpts from earlier pieces.  I suggest reading the whole posts for context: 

       

      Fact Check: Did Dr. Fauci Help Create This Pandemic?  - May 2, 2020

      "I, for one, am over this arrogant prick.  Fuck Fauci.  National treasure, my ass.  I hope everyone soon recognizes the damage he has intentionally, or accidentally, done to the world and all its suffering people."


      Fact Check: How to Survive Coronavirus in Three Easy Steps - August 5, 2020

      "When the subject of HCQ first came up, Dr. Fauci pooh-poohed it saying he needed a time-consuming peer-reviewed double-blind study. After all, that is the gold standard in drug testing.  But, does that make sense during a deadly pandemic with a centuries old class of medicines that have been proven safe,  proven to work in vitro, and have proven clinical results against this very Coronavirus?  Fauci had the burden of proof completely backwards! With no viable options and people dying, the burden of proof was on the HCQ skeptics."


      Fact Check: Why Did We Allow 500,000 to Die? - February 10, 2021

      "And among the criminals I hold responsible, a dishonorable mention must go to Dr. Anthony Fauci.  Not only did he champion the very experiments that likely led to the creation of this virus, but he funded them and lied about it. He was at the top of the chain-of-command when U.S. taxpayer money went to the Wuhan Institute of Virology to pay for the very reckless "gain-of-function" experiments that created this FrankenVirus.

      But Fauci's lies did not stop there.  He also lied about masks, Hydroxychloroquine, Remdesivir, and the significance of randomized controlled trials.  More than anyone else he is responsible for not only the origin, but the tragic handling of this virus as well.  

      Of course it is only fitting that Anthony Fauci is the highest paid person in our entire government and the most respected voice on matters of all infectious diseases, including this virus. What a truly insane world we live in.    

      [For links and summaries to every scientific study done on HCQ, IVM, D3, ZINC, C, and more, go to:  c19study.com ]

      [UPDATE: Anthony Fauci was just awarded a $1 million Israeli prize for "defending science".  Can't make this shit up.]" 



      Thursday, April 22, 2021

      Fact Check: The Truth About C02 & Global Warming [UPDATED]



      A Socratic Guide To The Burning Question Of Our Time


      Intro I

      There's an old Jewish joke that goes something like this:

      No matter what Shlomo did in bed, his wife could never achieve an orgasm. 
      Since by Jewish law a wife is entitled to sexual pleasure, they decide to consult their Rabbi. 
      The Rabbi listens to their story, strokes his beard, and makes the following suggestion: "Hire a strapping young man. While the two of you are making love, have the young man wave a towel over you. That will get God's attention and he will provide an orgasm."

      They go home and follow the Rabbi's advice. They hire a handsome young man and he waves a towel over them as they make love. It does not help and the wife is still unsatisfied. Perplexed, they go back to the Rabbi.

      "Okay,' he says to the husband, "Try it reversed. Have the young man make love to your wife and you wave the towel over them."

      Once again, they follow the Rabbi's advice. They go home and hire the same strapping young man.

      The young man gets into bed with the wife and the husband waves the towel. The young man gets to work with great enthusiasm and soon she has an enormous, room-shaking, ear-splitting, screaming orgasm.

      The husband smiles, looks at the young man and says to him triumphantly, "See that, you schmuck? THAT'S how you wave a towel!"

      _________________________________________________________________________________

      Intro II

      Let’s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world.

      In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus. There is no such thing as consensus science. If it’s consensus, it isn’t science. If it’s science, it isn’t consensus. Period.


      Michael Crichton, author of "Jurassic Park", "Andromeda Strain", "Westworld", and numerous other works of fiction and non-fiction. Crichton also held a medical degree from Harvard.
      _________________________________________________________________________________

      A Brief History of the Theory of Global Warming (aka Climate Change)


      It all began back in the 1700s when some rock stars - no, not that kind of rock star, geologists actually - were traipsing around Europe and noticed that some of the boulders in the valleys matched the rocks on distant peaks.  The only plausible explanation for how those boulders traveled so far was that they must have been carried by ice.  This idea was fleshed-out a few decades later by a scientist studying skeletons and frozen remains of large mammals in Siberia.  Thus was born the idea of The  Great Ice Age.  But that opened up a whole new can-o-worms; if ice once covered the Earth, what melted the ice?

      In 1824, around the same time these ideas were percolating, a scientist named Joseph Fourier figured out that Earth would be much colder without its atmosphere.  Air was trapping heat from the sun and keeping us warm, he said.  Fourier had discovered the greenhouse effect.

      Building on Fourier's work, other scientists found that about 70% of the greenhouse effect was due to water vapor, 20% was due to carbon dioxide (CO2), and the final 10% was due to methane, ozone, and other gasses.  A theory developed that maybe changes in the atmosphere had ended The Great Ice Age.

      Water vapor was dismissed as a cause because excess water condenses and falls-out as precipitation.  CO2, methane, and ozone do not cycle as quickly, so the theory of melting ice focused primarily on CO2, which while only .04% of the atmosphere, accounts for 20% of the warming effect.

      Two things were going on at the same time as all this.  One was the industrial revolution and the burning of coal in newly invented steam engines.  The other was the observation that the existing glaciers were continuing to melt!   Could they be related and tied back to changes in CO2?

      Along came a Swedish scientist named Svante Arrhenius, who in 1898 calculated the hypothetical climate change that would result if atmospheric CO2 was cut in half.  He calculated that the Earth would be glaciated...as it was during The Great Ice Age!  He also calculated that if CO2 doubled, we'd have melting ice and ...global warming!  So, the "modern" CO2 theory of global warming dates back to the calculations Arrhenius did 120 years ago in an attempt to explain the onset and demise of The Great Ice Age.   

      Meanwhile, we've been burning progressively more carbon fuels like coal, oil, and gas in the last 120 years.  Finally, in 1960, an American scientist named David Keeling began measuring CO2 levels at an observatory in Hawaii.  What he discovered was that CO2 was trending up at an alarming rate!  

      So with Keeling showing CO2 skyrocketing, Arrhenius' saying we are going to fry if CO2 rises, and glaciers continuing to melt, that eventually leads to Al Gore, Kyoto, Paris, The UN IPCC, and a scientific "consensus" saying global warming is an "existential threat". (Meaning, the end is nigh!)

      In 2009, the U.S. government under Barack Obama officially declared that CO2 emissions endangered life on Earth.  Whole generations now believe we are doomed.  Some have even stopped having children thinking there is no future.   

      All from a gas that humans exhale, that plants inhale, that makes up only .04% of our atmosphere, and that formed the basis of a theory developed in the 1800s to try and explain the The Great Ice Age!

      _________________________________________________________________________________

      Pop Quiz:

      So, what really ended The Great Ice Age?
      A. CO2
      B. Mr. Milankovitch

      Since this whole CO2 inquiry began as an attempt to explain The Great Ice Age, one of the first questions to ask is, was the premise right?  Have we learned anything new since Fourier, Arrhenius, Keeling, et al?  Do we now know what caused and ended The Great Ice Age?

      You are probably certain it was CO2.  After all, you've been told for years that CO2  drives climate.  Since the 1800s and Arrhenius we've believed that changes in CO2 can have dramatic effects.  We still believe CO2 is melting glaciers today.  It's "settled science" after all.

      Except, that's not what happened.  It turns out, Mr. Milankovitch did it.  (Yup, our climate has been hacked by the Russians! Actually, he was Serbian, just sounds Russian.)  Milutin Milankovitch was a scientist who figured out in the 1920s that the Earth has a cyclical relationship to the sun.  It tilts. It wobbles. It's orbit changes.  Some cycles take 100,000 years to complete.  Some take 41,000 years.  Some take 23,000 years.  The effect of all this is rather dramatic... ta da... climate change!

      MILANKOVITCH CYCLES



      Of course, Milankovitch was instantly dismissed as a kook.  Even today as I'm typing this, his name is unrecognized by the spell-check gremlins in my computer.  Fourier, Arrhenius, and Keeling, however, are spell-check VIPs.

      Until 1998, Milankovitch got no respect.  But then a funny thing happened down in Antarctica.  Scientists drilled an ice core at a place called Vostok (more Russians!) that gave them a 420,000 year climate history, and voila, there were major ice ages and warmings every 100,000 years.  There were also shorter cycles in between.  Milankovitch could no longer be dismissed, except of course by spell-check.

                 



      Then in 2000 another Antarctic ice core was obtained at Dome C that goes back 800,000 years.  Again it confirmed Milankovitch.  The Great Ice Age now had a plausible explanation.  The Earth's relationship to the sun caused major climate change - global coolings and global warmings - going back as far as we can see.

      Dome C Temperature Estimates


      If major climate change happens at least every 100,000 years, as Milankovitch theorized, and the Earth is 4.5 billion years old, then there have been 45,000 of those alone.  The Great Ice Age was just the latest in a countless series of coolings and warmings!

      Another name that should get mentioned at this point is Eddy, as in John A. Eddy.   Eddy was one of the most recent astronomers to study the cyclical output of the sun.  He published a groundbreaking study in 1976 and named the most recent solar minimums and maximums.   While Milankovitch cycles play out over tens of thousands of years, solar cycles can be as short as 11 years.  They are also closely correlated with...ta da...climate change!

      Here are some of the solar minimums and maximums from recent Earth history that resulted in major global warmings and mini-ice ages:



      You can see why glaciers are melting today by looking at the right side of the solar activity graph. We are also near a peak in the Milankovitch cycle.  Something would be horribly wrong if glaciers were NOT melting today!

      So between Milankovitch's orbital cycles and Eddy's solar cycles, these are the bases for ice ages and their demise.  These are the bases for perpetual climate change.  In addition, one-time events like volcanoes and asteroids can also produce dramatic and sudden climate swings.

      [UPDATE 7/31/23:  In addition to volcanoes and asteroids, undersea volcanoes and exothermic releases must be considered.  We are currently experiencing a dramatic and sudden rise in ocean temps which largely occurred over a 4 week period beginning in March, 2023.  The theory is that heat from the Earth's core did this.  An ocean cannot be rapidly heated from above due to marginally hotter air. But an exothermic release from the Earth's core (as hot as the surface of the sun!) could do that.  This theory has been brilliantly fleshed-out over a few years in a post on theethicalskeptic.com website.  https://theethicalskeptic.com/2020/02/16/the-climate-change-alternative-we-ignore-to-our-peril/ 

      Moreover, in January, 2022, the largest undersea volcano ever recorded erupted and sent unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the stratosphere.  As we know, 70% of the greenhouse effect is due to water vapor, and the amount from this undersea release is expected to take years if not decades to cycle through.  Unknown is the thermal footprint this had on deep Pacific Ocean temps because our measurements are largely based on surface temps.   https://www.nasa.gov/feature/jpl/tonga-eruption-blasted-unprecedented-amount-of-water-into-stratosphere ]


      So, CO2 did not cause either The Great Ice Age or any of the many tens of thousands of cyclical coolings and warmings that preceded it.  It's the fluctuating sun and our wonky orbit that cause climate change.

      (A newer ice core at Allan Hills, Antarctica claims to go back over 1.2 million years, and it also confirms Milankovitch.)
      _________________________________________________________________________________

      Pop quiz:
      Still, within the Milankovitch and Eddy cycles, we know that:
      A. CO2 drives climate change 
      B. Climate drives CO2 change
      Just because Arrhenius et al were wrong about The Great Ice Age doesn't mean they are also wrong about what will happen if we add massive amounts of CO2 to our atmosphere.  According to the CO2 theory of global warming, as CO2 increases, so will temperatures.
        That's why you are probably certain that CO2 still drives climate change.  A consensus of scientists, academics, politicians, and celebrities have been telling you for years that higher CO2 concentrations will cause the Earth to get hotter.  As we burn more and more fossil fuels, that releases more CO2 into the air.  CO2 is a greenhouse gas, ergo the Earth gets hotter.  It's simple.

        Except, that's not what happens.  Along with temperature records going back 800,000 years, we also got CO2 records for the same time span.

        Here's the CO2 and temperature record from the Dome C ice core: 

        Dome C Temperature and CO2 for 800,000 Years (Red = CO2, Blue = Temps)




        At first glance temperature and CO2 appear to be closely correlated.  One might even conclude that Arrhenius was right and that CO2 caused the ice ages.      

        But when zooming in on this graph, something interesting is revealed; CO2 trails temperature by 1200 years, + or - 700 years!  

        Climate Change (blue) precedes CO2 Change by 1200, + or - 700 Years


        CO2 and the other atmospheric gasses behave somewhat like water vapor, except over a longer timeframe.  We know that hotter air can retain water vapor in greater concentrations than colder air.  There is also a water cycle that is constantly moving water from vapor, to precipitation, to ground, to sea, and then back to vapor.  CO2 has a similar cycle, just not as quick. (See Henry's Law)  

        A number of datasets from ice and sediment cores confirm this finding.  The hotter it gets on Earth, the more CO2 can be found in the atmosphere.  Contrary to what you've been told, CO2 does not drive climate.  Climate drives CO2!  The alleged cause is actually an effect.
                 
        _________________________________________________________________________________

        Pop Quiz:
        Still, pumping CO2 into the atmosphere is a new thing, and that's what makes this an existential threat!
        A. True
        B. False 
        As everyone since Keeling knows, CO2 levels are in-fact rising.  And who can forget Al Gore on the scissor lift in his movie showing CO2 going literally off the chart?  And as everyone knows since Arrhenius, more CO2 makes Earth hotter, right?

        Except, that's not what's happening.  Yes, we are in a warm period due to both Milankovitch and Eddy, and accordingly, CO2 is rising.  That's to be expected.  But the question remains: is this time different because we are burning fossil fuels?  Can CO2 work both ways?  Can it both be driven by temperature and also drive temperatures up?

        If greenhouse gasses both increase as temperatures go up, and then cause even more warming, why is the greenhouse effect not a runaway reaction? According to Arrhenius and modern global warming theory, the greenhouse effect should create a feedback loop.  Why isn't that visible in the ice core data? 

        The answer has to do with the light spectrum and each gasses' role in trapping radiation in the troposphere.  

           

        At the affected upgoing wavelengths, which are the ones involved in global warming, CO2 is already absorbing 100% of the radiation it is capable of absorbing.  Adding more CO2 into the atmosphere can not trap more than 100% of the affected radiation!  This is why the greenhouse effect is not a runaway reaction or a feedback loop.  It's a self-limiting reaction.

        In the 1800s, when Arrhenius was doing his calculations, the instruments for measuring the light spectrum this accurately did not exist. (Then again, neither did antibiotics, airplanes, Model T Fords, transistors...)

        Additionally, as CO2 increases, the CO2 cycle speeds up.  Here's an example of how the biosphere absorbs CO2 at faster rates:



        So, adding more CO2 into the atmosphere will not effect climate, and any CO2 increases will just grow the biosphere.  
        _________________________________________________________________________________

        Pop Quiz:
        Still, there is a scientific consensus that says CO2 is uniquely warming our planet, and no one can prove otherwise.     
        A.  True
        B.  False

        Anyone who's taken a middle school science class knows the value of a control group.  Luckily, scientists have the ability to track temperature and CO2 on some of the other bodies around Earth.  Venus, Mars, and the Moon are particularly close to us and have yielded some interesting data.  If global warming theory is right, temperatures on those bodies should be un-correlated to Earth temps because they are free from the effects of industrialization!

        Except, that's not what's happening.  In an odd coincidence both Mars and the Moon are warming!  (Of course, it's still man's fault!)  Milankovitch is particularly relevant to the Moon, because as goes the Earth, so goes the Moon.  Eddy is particularly relevant to Mars, because as goes the Sun, so goes Mars.

        But there's more.

        In our solar system, only Venus, Earth, and Mars have atmospheres with CO2. Of the three, Venus is closest to the sun, has a dense atmosphere, is very hot, and has about 200,000 times the CO2 concentration of Earth.  Mars is furthest from the sun, has a very light atmosphere, is quite cold, and  still has about 14 times the CO2 concentration of Earth!  It appears that distance from the sun is what primarily drives climate on these three planets, not CO2. _________________________________________________________________________________


        Pop Quiz:

        Still, we know that global warming is true because all the predictions have been right!
        A. True
        B. False

        Real science can accurately predict the future.  If a cannon ball with a known mass, is fired from a cannon with a known amount of force, at a known trajectory, etc., science can predict exactly where it will land.  That's how science works.

        If global warming science is real and quantifiable, scientists would be able to similarly predict the future of climate.

        Except that's not what has happened.  In fact, every single dire prediction has been proven wrong.  100% wrong.  Here's a brief summary of what the experts have predicted:

        • Global famine by the year 2000 - Dr. Paul Ehrlich, Nobel Prize recipient, Professor 
        • Entire nations wiped out by 1999 - Noel Brown, U.N. Environmental Director
        • Ice caps will melt away and oceans will rise causing massive flooding by 2014 - Al Gore, VPOTUS, global warming evangelist
        • End of snow in England by 2015 - Dr. David Viner,  climate scientist at The University of East Anglia
        • Increased tornadoes and hurricanes - James Hanson, professor of climate at Columbia University & the high priest of global warming, and The U.N. IPCC
        • New Ice Age in Europe - Dr. Paul Ehrlich
        • Sub-Saharan Africa drying up - U.N. and World Bank
        • Massive flooding in China and India - Asian Development Bank and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
        • Polar Bear extinction - National Geographic, The New York Times, Guardian, among many.
        • Drastic Temperature Increases - James Hanson
        • The Earth will be in a “True Planetary Emergency” by 2016 unless greenhouse gasses are reduced - Al Gore
          None of those predictions came true.  Not one.  And that is just a tiny sampling.   


          And here are some of the bad predictions from just this past year!

          _________________________________________________________________________________

          Pop Quiz:

          Still, we are under an existential threat because the Earth is progressively getting:
          A: Hotter 
          B: Colder 
          You are probably certain that the Earth is getting hotter.  The name global warming itself describes the danger.  You are probably familiar with the apocryphal "hockey stick" graph featured in "An Inconvenient Truth":



          Except, that's not what's happening in the long run:
            




          The Earth is actually getting cooler! 

          Five million years is not much when you consider the Earth is 4.5 billion years old.  That would take 900 - five million year graphs!  So, here's another graph estimating 65 million years of global climate change, still only a fraction of Earth's life.  Again, it clearly shows Earth is cooling.  

              
          The existential threat is that we will eventually freeze, not bake!

          _________________________________________________________________________________

          Pop quiz:
          Still, in the 200,000 year history of mankind:
          A. It has never been this hot
          B. It's been much hotter before 

          No doubt you are sure it's never been this hot.  It says so on the "hockey stick" graph.  And just consider the melting glaciers!

          Yet, we know that 1100 years ago, when the Vikings first went to Iceland, there were no glaciers there.  Today, glaciers cover much of Iceland.  Similarly, Vikings settled on Greenland around the same time and successfully farmed there for 500 years.  But they abandoned Greenland in the mid 15th century, presumably because it got too cold.  Those two events are known as the Medieval Warm Period and The Little Ice Age. Curiously, you won't find either of those events on Al Gore's graph.

          Here's a graph that shows 10,000 years of climate change from ice cores on Greenland:





          And here's a map of glacial retreat in Glacier Bay, Alaska going back 2 1/2 centuries.  As you can see, glaciers have been in retreat since long before your SUV!





          We have enough data to know that this warm period is nothing new.   It's been hotter than this many times before, even in man's brief 200,000 year history.

          _________________________________________________________________________________

          You are still free to believe in the CO2 theory of global warming.  Heck, you are free to believe in anything you want, including Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy!  But any serious person who looks into global warming must reflect long and hard before blindly waving a towel for the consensus.

          _________________________________________________________________________________

          I was the founder of Kindzone.com, one of the first companies to test market retail carbon credits.  I've been closely following the science and consensus of global warming for over 20 years.

          Ron Reich   

          Tuesday, April 13, 2021

          Fact Check: Why Pause The J&J Vaccine?

          The news today is that the Biden administration has "paused" the J&J vaccine due to some mysterious blood clots at the rate of one in a million women.  What?  One in a million, and only for women?  So what is the rate for this particular blood clot among women in the general population without taking a vaccine?  About one in a million.  In other words, the J&J vaccine adds nothing to the risk for this particular thrombosis.

          Moreover, there have been proportionately as many mysterious deaths and reactions associated with the mRNA vaccines from Pfizer and Moderna.  Yet no pause there.  It's full steam ahead for Fauci's favorite jabs.  

          So why the selective pause for J&J?  

          Here's one possibility:  Democrats hate J&J!  To explain this, I've excerpted a piece I wrote back in 2013 on this subject titled, "Why Does Obama Hate J&J, Toyota, and Gibson Guitars So Much?":  (hint: it's about UNIONS!)


          In 2011, the FDA took over three J&J/McNeil/Tylenol plants, shut one of them down, recalled a bunch of products, and started a criminal investigation claiming poor quality on several fronts (5). The infractions cited were various:  musty odors, poor quality, bacteria, imperfect doses, and dangerous containers.   Headlines were written, criminal violations alleged, reputations shot, management shuffled, mea culpas issued, fines paid, and tons of money lost to J&J.  How many people did these deficient products kill?  How many were maimed?  In all cases…none.  Yet, to this day, it is difficult to find brand named Tylenol and many other J&J products in a store in certain regions. 

          This is not to say J&J products are perfect.  No company, much less a pharmaceutical company, can make that claim.  Every drug has side-effects, is prone to misuse, and has impurities.  But, J&J was severely punished for routine issues.  This all has the distinct air of a witch hunt.  Why the harsh treatment? 

          J&J is one of the countries largest pharmaceutical companies and one of its most revered workplaces.  ...One reason J&J is such a great place to work is its founding ideology, and that is precisely why Obama and the unions have singled it out. 

          Robert Wood Johnson, a founding member of the company, immortalized J&J’s ideology in 1943 in a document he called “Our Credo” (7).   Line two, paragraph two, of the J&J Credo states:

          “Everyone must be considered as an individual.”

          This is anathema, inimical, to the concept of a labor union!  A synonym for labor union is “collective bargaining agreement”.  Unions seek to be considered as a collective, not as individuals.  The J&J Credo is a symbolic existential threat to the very idea of labor unions.  Considering J&J’s perch at the top of the prestigious pharmaceutical industry and their reputation as one of the best places to work, it is easy to see how they were a threat to unions.

          ...No company could endure the scrutiny of the FDA when determined to find things like bacteria (which is everywhere), and odors (which are everywhere).  Whole J&J plants have been shuttered for such nebulous infractions.

          Today, J&J does employ some union workers.  Unionization at J&J runs about 5%.  Therefore, 95% of J&J workers are still non-union

          ...Side bar:  In the 1980s, seven people died after ingesting cyanide tainted Tylenol.  The case was never solved, but the investigation did narrow the source of the cyanide to the Tylenol distribution network around Chicago.  Chicago in the 1980s would have been the perfect place if a union had wanted to frame a corporate enemy with poisonings and get away with it.  Organized crime and organized labor controlled everything including local law enforcement and politicians.  (Not sure much has changed.)  Moreover, unions in Chicago had control of the packaging and distribution of Tylenol.  Tylenol was shipped from J&J’s plants in bulk containers to independently owned distribution centers where it was put into capsules, then into jars, and finally boxed and shipped to retailers.  The cyanide was introduced somewhere in that union distribution network (9).

          One person, James Lewis, was convicted for extortion related to the Tylenol case and is still considered a suspect, but he has never been charged.  Following the murders, J&J took their packaging away from the independent contractors and the unions and began doing it in-house.  Unions may have had nothing to do with those murders, but they did have the means, the motive, and the opportunity.

          Democrats and unions have been targeting J&J for decades because of their "Credo" and low rate of unionization.  This latest hit from team Biden is just more of the same.  

          But there's one other element today:  J&J was the only authorized non-mRNA vaccine in the U.S.  With them out of the picture, mRNA vaccines from Moderna and Pfizer now have a monopoly.  As I've pointed out previously in this blog, Dr. Anthony Fauci's team at NIAID co-owns the patent on mRNA vaccines.  Fauci's team now has a monopoly on a product that is basically mandatory.  Just think for a moment of the profit potential in that...